Trader consensus prices an 78% implied probability on Claudio Tapia remaining AFA president past July 19, driven by his secure term extending to 2028 following re-election in late 2024 amid Argentina's national team dominance atop CONMEBOL World Cup 2026 qualifiers. Recent judicial processing on March 30 for alleged tax fraud and improper retention of 19 billion pesos in social contributions—triggering asset embargoes, travel bans, and prior Primera División strikes—has fueled club backlash, including River Plate's March withdrawal from AFA's executive committee and sponsor demands for audits. Yet, no immediate ouster mechanism exists, with Tapia defending his role while advancing Lionel Scaloni's contract renewal ahead of the World Cup, underscoring entrenched governance stability despite domestic turmoil.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$191,266 交易量
$191,266 交易量
2026-07-19
是
$191,266 交易量
$191,266 交易量
2026-07-19
As of market creation, the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scheduled to end on July 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Claudio Fabián Tapia ceases to be President of the Argentine Football Association (AFA) for any length of time between this market's creation and July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Tapia's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the AFA and/or Claudio Fabián Tapia; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices an 78% implied probability on Claudio Tapia remaining AFA president past July 19, driven by his secure term extending to 2028 following re-election in late 2024 amid Argentina's national team dominance atop CONMEBOL World Cup 2026 qualifiers. Recent judicial processing on March 30 for alleged tax fraud and improper retention of 19 billion pesos in social contributions—triggering asset embargoes, travel bans, and prior Primera División strikes—has fueled club backlash, including River Plate's March withdrawal from AFA's executive committee and sponsor demands for audits. Yet, no immediate ouster mechanism exists, with Tapia defending his role while advancing Lionel Scaloni's contract renewal ahead of the World Cup, underscoring entrenched governance stability despite domestic turmoil.
As of market creation, the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scheduled to end on July 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Claudio Fabián Tapia ceases to be President of the Argentine Football Association (AFA) for any length of time between this market's creation and July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Tapia's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the AFA and/or Claudio Fabián Tapia; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Claudio Fabián Tapia ceases to be President of the Argentine Football Association (AFA) for any length of time between this market's creation and July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Tapia's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the AFA and/or Claudio Fabián Tapia; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 11, 2025, 2:10 PM ET
交易量
$191,266结束日期
2026-07-19市场开放时间
Dec 11, 2025, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As of market creation, the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scheduled to end on July 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Claudio Fabián Tapia ceases to be President of the Argentine Football Association (AFA) for any length of time between this market's creation and July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Tapia's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the AFA and/or Claudio Fabián Tapia; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices an 78% implied probability on Claudio Tapia remaining AFA president past July 19, driven by his secure term extending to 2028 following re-election in late 2024 amid Argentina's national team dominance atop CONMEBOL World Cup 2026 qualifiers. Recent judicial processing on March 30 for alleged tax fraud and improper retention of 19 billion pesos in social contributions—triggering asset embargoes, travel bans, and prior Primera División strikes—has fueled club backlash, including River Plate's March withdrawal from AFA's executive committee and sponsor demands for audits. Yet, no immediate ouster mechanism exists, with Tapia defending his role while advancing Lionel Scaloni's contract renewal ahead of the World Cup, underscoring entrenched governance stability despite domestic turmoil.
As of market creation, the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scheduled to end on July 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Claudio Fabián Tapia ceases to be President of the Argentine Football Association (AFA) for any length of time between this market's creation and July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Tapia's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the AFA and/or Claudio Fabián Tapia; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Claudio Fabián Tapia ceases to be President of the Argentine Football Association (AFA) for any length of time between this market's creation and July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Tapia's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the AFA and/or Claudio Fabián Tapia; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$191,266结束日期
2026-07-19市场开放时间
Dec 11, 2025, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices an 78% implied probability on Claudio Tapia remaining AFA president past July 19, driven by his secure term extending to 2028 following re-election in late 2024 amid Argentina's national team dominance atop CONMEBOL World Cup 2026 qualifiers. Recent judicial processing on March 30 for alleged tax fraud and improper retention of 19 billion pesos in social contributions—triggering asset embargoes, travel bans, and prior Primera División strikes—has fueled club backlash, including River Plate's March withdrawal from AFA's executive committee and sponsor demands for audits. Yet, no immediate ouster mechanism exists, with Tapia defending his role while advancing Lionel Scaloni's contract renewal ahead of the World Cup, underscoring entrenched governance stability despite domestic turmoil.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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