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California Senate Primary Margin of Victory

Market icon

California Senate Primary Margin of Victory

Garvey by >4% 0

Garvey by 2-4% 0

Garvey by 0-2% 0

Schiff wins 0

Polymarket

$271,242 交易量

Garvey by >4% 0

Garvey by 2-4% 0

Garvey by 0-2% 0

Schiff wins 0

Polymarket

$271,242 交易量

Market icon

Garvey by >4%

$101,923 交易量

No

Market icon

Garvey by 2-4%

$29,516 交易量

No

Market icon

Garvey by 0-2%

$37,592 交易量

No

Market icon

Schiff wins

$102,210 交易量

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Garvey wins the 2024 California Senate Primary by more than 4% of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers to the vote for the full six-year senate term. The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the finalized results from the government of California (e.g. https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/prior-elections/statewide-election-results).This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Garvey wins the 2024 California Senate Primary by between 2% (exclusive) and 4% (inclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers to the vote for the full six-year senate term. The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the finalized results from the government of California (e.g. https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/prior-elections/statewide-election-results).This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Garvey wins the 2024 California Senate Primary by between 0% (inclusive) and 2% (inclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers to the vote for the full six-year senate term. The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the finalized results from the government of California (e.g. https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/prior-elections/statewide-election-results).This market will resolve to "Yes" if Adam Schiff wins the 2024 California Senate Primary by proportion of the popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers to the vote for the full six-year senate term. The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the finalized results from the government of California (e.g. https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/prior-elections/statewide-election-results).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Garvey wins the 2024 California Senate Primary by more than 4% of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market refers to the vote for the full six-year senate term.

The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the finalized results from the government of California (e.g. https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/prior-elections/statewide-election-results).
交易量
$271,242
结束日期
Mar 31, 2024
市场开放时间
Mar 7, 2024, 1:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Garvey wins the 2024 California Senate Primary by more than 4% of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers to the vote for the full six-year senate term. The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the finalized results from the government of California (e.g. https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/prior-elections/statewide-election-results).

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Garvey wins the 2024 California Senate Primary by more than 4% of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers to the vote for the full six-year senate term. The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the finalized results from the government of California (e.g. https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/prior-elections/statewide-election-results).This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Garvey wins the 2024 California Senate Primary by between 2% (exclusive) and 4% (inclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers to the vote for the full six-year senate term. The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the finalized results from the government of California (e.g. https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/prior-elections/statewide-election-results).This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Garvey wins the 2024 California Senate Primary by between 0% (inclusive) and 2% (inclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers to the vote for the full six-year senate term. The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the finalized results from the government of California (e.g. https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/prior-elections/statewide-election-results).This market will resolve to "Yes" if Adam Schiff wins the 2024 California Senate Primary by proportion of the popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers to the vote for the full six-year senate term. The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the finalized results from the government of California (e.g. https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/prior-elections/statewide-election-results).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"California Senate Primary Margin of Victory"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Schiff wins",概率为 100%,其次是"Garvey by >4%",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"California Senate Primary Margin of Victory"已产生 $271.2K 的总交易量(自Mar 7, 2024市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"California Senate Primary Margin of Victory"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"California Senate Primary Margin of Victory"的当前领先者是"Schiff wins",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Garvey by >4%",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"California Senate Primary Margin of Victory"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。