California's 3rd Congressional District top-two primary on June 2 features incumbent Democrat Ami Bera, who shifted from a neighboring seat after Proposition 50's mid-decade redistricting made the district Democratic-leaning (Kamala Harris +10 in 2024). Bera leads with superior fundraising—$1.8 million cash on hand—and the Sacramento Bee's May 2 endorsement, but faces three Democratic challengers including environmentally focused Heidi Hall, risking vote splitting. Republicans, led by Nevada County Supervisor Robb Tucker (endorsed by ex-Rep. Kevin Kiley), vie for the second advancement spot. Early voting since May 4 shows Republican and Democratic ballot returns nearly even, with slight GOP edges in recent tallies, heightening trader focus on turnout and top-two dynamics amid limited polling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-06-02
Ami Bera
94%
Robb Tucker
70%
Christine Bish
25%
Heidi Hall
16%
Chris Bennett
7%
Laura Koscki
6%
Chris Richardson
4%
Lyndon Cervantes
4%
$4,465 交易量
Ami Bera
$459 交易量
94%
Robb Tucker
$1,972 交易量
70%
Christine Bish
$1,125 交易量
25%
Heidi Hall
$452 交易量
16%
Chris Bennett
$258 交易量
7%
Laura Koscki
$73 交易量
6%
Chris Richardson
$125 交易量
4%
Lyndon Cervantes
$0 交易量
4%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 3rd Congressional District top-two primary on June 2 features incumbent Democrat Ami Bera, who shifted from a neighboring seat after Proposition 50's mid-decade redistricting made the district Democratic-leaning (Kamala Harris +10 in 2024). Bera leads with superior fundraising—$1.8 million cash on hand—and the Sacramento Bee's May 2 endorsement, but faces three Democratic challengers including environmentally focused Heidi Hall, risking vote splitting. Republicans, led by Nevada County Supervisor Robb Tucker (endorsed by ex-Rep. Kevin Kiley), vie for the second advancement spot. Early voting since May 4 shows Republican and Democratic ballot returns nearly even, with slight GOP edges in recent tallies, heightening trader focus on turnout and top-two dynamics amid limited polling.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
交易量
$4,465结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 3rd Congressional District top-two primary on June 2 features incumbent Democrat Ami Bera, who shifted from a neighboring seat after Proposition 50's mid-decade redistricting made the district Democratic-leaning (Kamala Harris +10 in 2024). Bera leads with superior fundraising—$1.8 million cash on hand—and the Sacramento Bee's May 2 endorsement, but faces three Democratic challengers including environmentally focused Heidi Hall, risking vote splitting. Republicans, led by Nevada County Supervisor Robb Tucker (endorsed by ex-Rep. Kevin Kiley), vie for the second advancement spot. Early voting since May 4 shows Republican and Democratic ballot returns nearly even, with slight GOP edges in recent tallies, heightening trader focus on turnout and top-two dynamics amid limited polling.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$4,465结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...California's 3rd Congressional District top-two primary on June 2 features incumbent Democrat Ami Bera, who shifted from a neighboring seat after Proposition 50's mid-decade redistricting made the district Democratic-leaning (Kamala Harris +10 in 2024). Bera leads with superior fundraising—$1.8 million cash on hand—and the Sacramento Bee's May 2 endorsement, but faces three Democratic challengers including environmentally focused Heidi Hall, risking vote splitting. Republicans, led by Nevada County Supervisor Robb Tucker (endorsed by ex-Rep. Kevin Kiley), vie for the second advancement spot. Early voting since May 4 shows Republican and Democratic ballot returns nearly even, with slight GOP edges in recent tallies, heightening trader focus on turnout and top-two dynamics amid limited polling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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