Market icon

Biden Approval on Jan 7

Market icon

Biden Approval on Jan 7

<38.5% 0

38.5-39.0% 0

39.1-39.5% 0

>39.5% 0

Polymarket

$10,236 交易量

<38.5% 0

38.5-39.0% 0

39.1-39.5% 0

>39.5% 0

Polymarket

$10,236 交易量

Market icon

<38.5%

$3,110 交易量

No

Market icon

38.5-39.0%

$2,209 交易量

Yes

Market icon

39.1-39.5%

$1,100 交易量

No

Market icon

>39.5%

$3,817 交易量

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight is between 39.1% and 39.5% (inclusive) for the day of January 7, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve according to the datapoint for January 7 as soon as a datapoint for January 8 becomes available. This market may not resolve until the January 8 datapoint is available. If no datapoint for January 7 is available by January 10, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous approval rating to January 7.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$10,236
结束日期
Jan 7, 2024
市场开放时间
Dec 21, 2023, 7:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight is between 39.1% and 39.5% (inclusive) for the day of January 7, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the datapoint for January 7 as soon as a datapoint for January 8 becomes available. This market may not resolve until the January 8 datapoint is available. If no datapoint for January 7 is available by January 10, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous approval rating to January 7. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Biden Approval on Jan 7"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"38.5-39.0%",概率为 100%,其次是"<38.5%",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Biden Approval on Jan 7"已产生 $10.2K 的总交易量(自Dec 22, 2023市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Biden Approval on Jan 7"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Biden Approval on Jan 7"的当前领先者是"38.5-39.0%",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"<38.5%",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Biden Approval on Jan 7"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。