Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 80% implied probability to no change in Banxico's benchmark rate at the May meeting, reflecting caution after the central bank's split 3-2 decision to cut 25 basis points to 6.75% on March 26 amid rising headline inflation to 4.02% YoY in February and 4.63% in early March—well above the 3% target. Governor comments on March 30 indicated the easing cycle is "close to finishing," bolstering hold expectations despite soft economic activity, including January's 0.9% contraction in monthly GDP proxy. Upcoming April CPI data and Q1 growth figures could sway sentiment, with low odds on hikes (1.8%) underscoring limited tightening risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于维持不变 81%
降息 15%
加息 1.9%
最新
最新
2026-05-07
降息
15%
维持不变
81%
加息
2%
维持不变 81%
降息 15%
加息 1.9%
最新
最新
2026-05-07
降息
$2,426 交易量
15%
维持不变
$4,393 交易量
81%
加息
$2,693 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 80% implied probability to no change in Banxico's benchmark rate at the May meeting, reflecting caution after the central bank's split 3-2 decision to cut 25 basis points to 6.75% on March 26 amid rising headline inflation to 4.02% YoY in February and 4.63% in early March—well above the 3% target. Governor comments on March 30 indicated the easing cycle is "close to finishing," bolstering hold expectations despite soft economic activity, including January's 0.9% contraction in monthly GDP proxy. Upcoming April CPI data and Q1 growth figures could sway sentiment, with low odds on hikes (1.8%) underscoring limited tightening risks.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ET
交易量
$9,512结束日期
2026-05-07市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 80% implied probability to no change in Banxico's benchmark rate at the May meeting, reflecting caution after the central bank's split 3-2 decision to cut 25 basis points to 6.75% on March 26 amid rising headline inflation to 4.02% YoY in February and 4.63% in early March—well above the 3% target. Governor comments on March 30 indicated the easing cycle is "close to finishing," bolstering hold expectations despite soft economic activity, including January's 0.9% contraction in monthly GDP proxy. Upcoming April CPI data and Q1 growth figures could sway sentiment, with low odds on hikes (1.8%) underscoring limited tightening risks.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$9,512结束日期
2026-05-07市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 80% implied probability to no change in Banxico's benchmark rate at the May meeting, reflecting caution after the central bank's split 3-2 decision to cut 25 basis points to 6.75% on March 26 amid rising headline inflation to 4.02% YoY in February and 4.63% in early March—well above the 3% target. Governor comments on March 30 indicated the easing cycle is "close to finishing," bolstering hold expectations despite soft economic activity, including January's 0.9% contraction in monthly GDP proxy. Upcoming April CPI data and Q1 growth figures could sway sentiment, with low odds on hikes (1.8%) underscoring limited tightening risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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