Harry Kane leads trader consensus at 24.4% implied probability for the 2026 Ballon d'Or, buoyed by his European Golden Shoe lead with 31 Bundesliga goals fueling Bayern Munich's commanding league position and 10 Champions League strikes. Lamine Yamal (23.5%) trails closely, his teenage creativity and assist hauls propelling Barcelona's La Liga title push amid power rankings surges. Kylian Mbappé (22.5%) remains competitive via 23 La Liga goals and a tournament-high 13 in Champions League, though Real Madrid's inconsistencies cap his edge. This bunched top trio reflects no clear standout yet, with season-end UCL knockouts, domestic trophies, and World Cup qualifiers poised to tip the scales in the wisdom-of-crowds pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年金球奖得主
2026年金球奖得主
哈里·凯恩 24.4%
拉明·亚马尔 24%
基利安·姆巴佩 23%
维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔 6.3%
$1,421,492 交易量
$1,421,492 交易量
Oct 31, 2026
哈里·凯恩
24%
拉明·亚马尔
24%
基利安·姆巴佩
23%
维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔
6%
佩德里
4%
科尔·帕尔默
3%
裘德·贝林厄姆
2%
奥斯曼·登贝莱
2%
埃尔林·哈兰德
2%
穆罕默德·萨拉赫
1%
哈里·凯恩 24.4%
拉明·亚马尔 24%
基利安·姆巴佩 23%
维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔 6.3%
$1,421,492 交易量
$1,421,492 交易量
Oct 31, 2026
哈里·凯恩
$467,708 交易量
24%
拉明·亚马尔
$34,363 交易量
24%
基利安·姆巴佩
$62,854 交易量
23%
维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔
$283,935 交易量
6%
佩德里
$0 交易量
4%
科尔·帕尔默
$0 交易量
3%
裘德·贝林厄姆
$175,015 交易量
2%
奥斯曼·登贝莱
$178,450 交易量
2%
埃尔林·哈兰德
$219,167 交易量
2%
穆罕默德·萨拉赫
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads trader consensus at 24.4% implied probability for the 2026 Ballon d'Or, buoyed by his European Golden Shoe lead with 31 Bundesliga goals fueling Bayern Munich's commanding league position and 10 Champions League strikes. Lamine Yamal (23.5%) trails closely, his teenage creativity and assist hauls propelling Barcelona's La Liga title push amid power rankings surges. Kylian Mbappé (22.5%) remains competitive via 23 La Liga goals and a tournament-high 13 in Champions League, though Real Madrid's inconsistencies cap his edge. This bunched top trio reflects no clear standout yet, with season-end UCL knockouts, domestic trophies, and World Cup qualifiers poised to tip the scales in the wisdom-of-crowds pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
交易量
$1,421,492结束日期
Oct 31, 2026市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads trader consensus at 24.4% implied probability for the 2026 Ballon d'Or, buoyed by his European Golden Shoe lead with 31 Bundesliga goals fueling Bayern Munich's commanding league position and 10 Champions League strikes. Lamine Yamal (23.5%) trails closely, his teenage creativity and assist hauls propelling Barcelona's La Liga title push amid power rankings surges. Kylian Mbappé (22.5%) remains competitive via 23 La Liga goals and a tournament-high 13 in Champions League, though Real Madrid's inconsistencies cap his edge. This bunched top trio reflects no clear standout yet, with season-end UCL knockouts, domestic trophies, and World Cup qualifiers poised to tip the scales in the wisdom-of-crowds pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
交易量
$1,421,492结束日期
Oct 31, 2026市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads trader consensus at 24.4% implied probability for the 2026 Ballon d'Or, buoyed by his European Golden Shoe lead with 31 Bundesliga goals fueling Bayern Munich's commanding league position and 10 Champions League strikes. Lamine Yamal (23.5%) trails closely, his teenage creativity and assist hauls propelling Barcelona's La Liga title push amid power rankings surges. Kylian Mbappé (22.5%) remains competitive via 23 La Liga goals and a tournament-high 13 in Champions League, though Real Madrid's inconsistencies cap his edge. This bunched top trio reflects no clear standout yet, with season-end UCL knockouts, domestic trophies, and World Cup qualifiers poised to tip the scales in the wisdom-of-crowds pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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