Carlos Alcaraz (37.5%) and Jannik Sinner (37.0%) lead trader consensus for the 2026 Wimbledon men's singles title, their near-even implied probabilities highlighting a fiercely competitive next-gen duel on grass. Alcaraz's back-to-back Grand Slam triumphs at Wimbledon—capping 2024 with a decisive final win over Djokovic—solidify his surface mastery through explosive movement and serve-volley prowess, while Sinner's recent ATP Finals victory and year-end world No. 1 ranking underscore all-court dominance despite modestly weaker grass stats. Djokovic trails at 7.4% amid knee surgery recovery and turning 39, opening doors for Zverev (2.4%) and dark horses like João Fonseca (1.4%) or Jack Draper (1.1%) in this long-term futures market driven by youth, form, and historical surface splits.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯 38%
贾尼克·辛纳 37%
诺瓦克·德约科维奇 7.4%
亚历山大·兹韦列夫 2.4%
$1,317,920 交易量
$1,317,920 交易量
卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯
38%
贾尼克·辛纳
37%
诺瓦克·德约科维奇
7%
亚历山大·兹韦列夫
2%
丹尼尔·梅德韦杰夫
2%
泰勒·弗里茨
2%
若昂·丰塞卡
1%
杰克·德雷珀
1%
本·谢尔顿
1%
亚历山大·布勃利克
1%
洛伦佐·穆塞蒂
1%
加布里埃尔·迪亚洛
1%
吉里·莱赫奇卡
1%
乌戈·昂贝尔
1%
雅库布·门希克
1%
亚历克斯·德米纳尔
1%
费利克斯·奥热-阿利亚西姆
1%
斯特凡诺斯·西西帕斯
1%
安德烈·鲁布列夫
<1%
阿尔瑟·菲尔斯
<1%
马泰奥·贝雷蒂尼
<1%
亚历杭德罗·达维多维奇·福基纳
<1%
弗拉维奥·科博利
<1%
马林·西里奇
<1%
格里戈尔·迪米特洛夫
<1%
卡斯珀·鲁德
<1%
汤米·保罗
<1%
塞巴斯蒂安·科尔达
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
弗朗西斯·蒂亚福
<1%
阿列克谢·波皮林
<1%
休伯特·胡尔卡奇
<1%
卡梅伦·诺里
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
弗朗西斯科·塞伦多洛
<1%
卡伦·哈查诺夫
<1%
托马什·马哈奇
<1%
乔瓦尼·姆佩希·佩里卡尔德
<1%
洛伦佐·索内戈
<1%
尼古拉斯·哈里
<1%
卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯 38%
贾尼克·辛纳 37%
诺瓦克·德约科维奇 7.4%
亚历山大·兹韦列夫 2.4%
$1,317,920 交易量
$1,317,920 交易量
卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯
38%
贾尼克·辛纳
37%
诺瓦克·德约科维奇
7%
亚历山大·兹韦列夫
2%
丹尼尔·梅德韦杰夫
2%
泰勒·弗里茨
2%
若昂·丰塞卡
1%
杰克·德雷珀
1%
本·谢尔顿
1%
亚历山大·布勃利克
1%
洛伦佐·穆塞蒂
1%
加布里埃尔·迪亚洛
1%
吉里·莱赫奇卡
1%
乌戈·昂贝尔
1%
雅库布·门希克
1%
亚历克斯·德米纳尔
1%
费利克斯·奥热-阿利亚西姆
1%
斯特凡诺斯·西西帕斯
1%
安德烈·鲁布列夫
<1%
阿尔瑟·菲尔斯
<1%
马泰奥·贝雷蒂尼
<1%
亚历杭德罗·达维多维奇·福基纳
<1%
弗拉维奥·科博利
<1%
马林·西里奇
<1%
格里戈尔·迪米特洛夫
<1%
卡斯珀·鲁德
<1%
汤米·保罗
<1%
塞巴斯蒂安·科尔达
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
弗朗西斯·蒂亚福
<1%
阿列克谢·波皮林
<1%
休伯特·胡尔卡奇
<1%
卡梅伦·诺里
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
弗朗西斯科·塞伦多洛
<1%
卡伦·哈查诺夫
<1%
托马什·马哈奇
<1%
乔瓦尼·姆佩希·佩里卡尔德
<1%
洛伦佐·索内戈
<1%
尼古拉斯·哈里
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Carlos Alcaraz (37.5%) and Jannik Sinner (37.0%) lead trader consensus for the 2026 Wimbledon men's singles title, their near-even implied probabilities highlighting a fiercely competitive next-gen duel on grass. Alcaraz's back-to-back Grand Slam triumphs at Wimbledon—capping 2024 with a decisive final win over Djokovic—solidify his surface mastery through explosive movement and serve-volley prowess, while Sinner's recent ATP Finals victory and year-end world No. 1 ranking underscore all-court dominance despite modestly weaker grass stats. Djokovic trails at 7.4% amid knee surgery recovery and turning 39, opening doors for Zverev (2.4%) and dark horses like João Fonseca (1.4%) or Jack Draper (1.1%) in this long-term futures market driven by youth, form, and historical surface splits.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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