Trader consensus reflects a dead heat between Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner at 36.5% and 36.0% implied probabilities for the 2026 Wimbledon men's singles title, driven by their elite hard-court form transitioning into grass-court preparations. Sinner's Indian Wells Masters 1000 triumph over Daniil Medvedev last week, followed by a strong Miami Open run into the final against Jiří Lehečka, has elevated his standing after Alcaraz's early Miami exit to Sebastian Korda despite the Spaniard's 14-0 season start. As two-time defending champion on grass, Alcaraz's surface history and explosive game pair with Sinner's baseline power and improving serve, fostering the tight race. Novak Djokovic's 7.3% trails amid a right shoulder injury forcing his Miami withdrawal, dimming his 24-time Grand Slam pedigree on the All England Club lawns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯 37%
贾尼克·辛纳 36%
诺瓦克·德约科维奇 7.3%
亚历山大·兹韦列夫 3.5%
$2,517,592 交易量
$2,517,592 交易量
卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯
37%
贾尼克·辛纳
36%
诺瓦克·德约科维奇
7%
亚历山大·兹韦列夫
3%
杰克·德雷珀
2%
丹尼尔·梅德韦杰夫
2%
若昂·丰塞卡
1%
本·谢尔顿
1%
泰勒·弗里茨
1%
亚历山大·布勃利克
1%
加布里埃尔·迪亚洛
1%
吉里·莱赫奇卡
1%
洛伦佐·穆塞蒂
1%
雅库布·门希克
1%
乌戈·昂贝尔
1%
亚历克斯·德米纳尔
1%
费利克斯·奥热-阿利亚西姆
1%
斯特凡诺斯·西西帕斯
1%
安德烈·鲁布列夫
<1%
阿尔瑟·菲尔斯
<1%
马泰奥·贝雷蒂尼
<1%
亚历杭德罗·达维多维奇·福基纳
<1%
弗拉维奥·科博利
<1%
马林·西里奇
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
格里戈尔·迪米特洛夫
<1%
卡斯珀·鲁德
<1%
汤米·保罗
<1%
弗朗西斯·蒂亚福
<1%
阿列克谢·波皮林
<1%
塞巴斯蒂安·科尔达
<1%
休伯特·胡尔卡奇
<1%
卡梅伦·诺里
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
弗朗西斯科·塞伦多洛
<1%
卡伦·哈查诺夫
<1%
托马什·马哈奇
<1%
乔瓦尼·姆佩希·佩里卡尔德
<1%
洛伦佐·索内戈
<1%
尼古拉斯·哈里
<1%
卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯 37%
贾尼克·辛纳 36%
诺瓦克·德约科维奇 7.3%
亚历山大·兹韦列夫 3.5%
$2,517,592 交易量
$2,517,592 交易量
卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯
37%
贾尼克·辛纳
36%
诺瓦克·德约科维奇
7%
亚历山大·兹韦列夫
3%
杰克·德雷珀
2%
丹尼尔·梅德韦杰夫
2%
若昂·丰塞卡
1%
本·谢尔顿
1%
泰勒·弗里茨
1%
亚历山大·布勃利克
1%
加布里埃尔·迪亚洛
1%
吉里·莱赫奇卡
1%
洛伦佐·穆塞蒂
1%
雅库布·门希克
1%
乌戈·昂贝尔
1%
亚历克斯·德米纳尔
1%
费利克斯·奥热-阿利亚西姆
1%
斯特凡诺斯·西西帕斯
1%
安德烈·鲁布列夫
<1%
阿尔瑟·菲尔斯
<1%
马泰奥·贝雷蒂尼
<1%
亚历杭德罗·达维多维奇·福基纳
<1%
弗拉维奥·科博利
<1%
马林·西里奇
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
格里戈尔·迪米特洛夫
<1%
卡斯珀·鲁德
<1%
汤米·保罗
<1%
弗朗西斯·蒂亚福
<1%
阿列克谢·波皮林
<1%
塞巴斯蒂安·科尔达
<1%
休伯特·胡尔卡奇
<1%
卡梅伦·诺里
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
弗朗西斯科·塞伦多洛
<1%
卡伦·哈查诺夫
<1%
托马什·马哈奇
<1%
乔瓦尼·姆佩希·佩里卡尔德
<1%
洛伦佐·索内戈
<1%
尼古拉斯·哈里
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus reflects a dead heat between Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner at 36.5% and 36.0% implied probabilities for the 2026 Wimbledon men's singles title, driven by their elite hard-court form transitioning into grass-court preparations. Sinner's Indian Wells Masters 1000 triumph over Daniil Medvedev last week, followed by a strong Miami Open run into the final against Jiří Lehečka, has elevated his standing after Alcaraz's early Miami exit to Sebastian Korda despite the Spaniard's 14-0 season start. As two-time defending champion on grass, Alcaraz's surface history and explosive game pair with Sinner's baseline power and improving serve, fostering the tight race. Novak Djokovic's 7.3% trails amid a right shoulder injury forcing his Miami withdrawal, dimming his 24-time Grand Slam pedigree on the All England Club lawns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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