Trader consensus favors Carlos Alcaraz at 40.5% implied probability to win the 2026 French Open, narrowly ahead of Jannik Sinner at 33.5%, reflecting their dominance as the ATP's top-ranked young stars with superior Grand Slam pedigrees on clay. Alcaraz's edge stems from his 2024 title run, Madrid and Barcelona Masters triumphs, and recent deep runs like the Shanghai semifinals, showcasing peak clay form and adaptability. Sinner, despite US Open success and world No. 1 status, trails slightly due to a hip illness forcing his Shanghai withdrawal last week, raising minor fitness questions despite his improving Paris semis history. The tight race underscores balanced surface matchups, injury uncertainties, and two-plus years for form shifts, rankings battles, and draw luck to evolve among a deep field including Djokovic's experience fade.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯 40%
贾尼克·辛纳 33%
亚历山大·兹维列夫 3.4%
诺瓦克·德约科维奇 3.3%
$1,482,649 交易量
$1,482,649 交易量
卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯
40%
贾尼克·辛纳
33%
亚历山大·兹维列夫
3%
诺瓦克·德约科维奇
3%
洛伦佐·穆塞蒂
3%
阿尔图尔·菲尔斯
1%
卡斯帕·鲁德
1%
若昂·丰塞卡
1%
杰克·德雷珀
1%
本·谢尔顿
1%
安德烈·鲁布列夫
1%
泰勒·弗里茨
1%
达尼尔·梅德韦杰夫
1%
斯特凡诺斯·西西帕斯
1%
汤米·保罗
1%
伊日·莱赫卡
1%
雅库布·门西克
1%
弗朗西斯科·塞伦多洛
1%
阿莱克斯·德米纳尔
1%
费利克斯·奥热-阿利亚西姆
1%
阿列克谢·波皮林
1%
学习者田
1%
塞巴斯蒂安·科尔达
1%
丹尼斯·沙波瓦洛夫
<1%
托马斯·马查克
<1%
亚历山大·布勃利克
<1%
亚历杭德罗·塔比洛
<1%
休伯特·胡尔卡奇
<1%
弗拉维奥·科博利
<1%
亚历杭德罗·达维多维奇·福基纳
<1%
卡伦·哈查诺夫
<1%
格里戈尔·迪米特洛夫
<1%
马林·西里奇
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
卡梅伦·诺里
<1%
扬-伦纳德·斯特鲁夫
<1%
乌戈·昂贝尔
<1%
雷利·奥佩尔卡
<1%
马泰奥·贝雷蒂尼
<1%
弗朗西斯·蒂亚福
<1%
卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯 40%
贾尼克·辛纳 33%
亚历山大·兹维列夫 3.4%
诺瓦克·德约科维奇 3.3%
$1,482,649 交易量
$1,482,649 交易量
卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯
40%
贾尼克·辛纳
33%
亚历山大·兹维列夫
3%
诺瓦克·德约科维奇
3%
洛伦佐·穆塞蒂
3%
阿尔图尔·菲尔斯
1%
卡斯帕·鲁德
1%
若昂·丰塞卡
1%
杰克·德雷珀
1%
本·谢尔顿
1%
安德烈·鲁布列夫
1%
泰勒·弗里茨
1%
达尼尔·梅德韦杰夫
1%
斯特凡诺斯·西西帕斯
1%
汤米·保罗
1%
伊日·莱赫卡
1%
雅库布·门西克
1%
弗朗西斯科·塞伦多洛
1%
阿莱克斯·德米纳尔
1%
费利克斯·奥热-阿利亚西姆
1%
阿列克谢·波皮林
1%
学习者田
1%
塞巴斯蒂安·科尔达
1%
丹尼斯·沙波瓦洛夫
<1%
托马斯·马查克
<1%
亚历山大·布勃利克
<1%
亚历杭德罗·塔比洛
<1%
休伯特·胡尔卡奇
<1%
弗拉维奥·科博利
<1%
亚历杭德罗·达维多维奇·福基纳
<1%
卡伦·哈查诺夫
<1%
格里戈尔·迪米特洛夫
<1%
马林·西里奇
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
卡梅伦·诺里
<1%
扬-伦纳德·斯特鲁夫
<1%
乌戈·昂贝尔
<1%
雷利·奥佩尔卡
<1%
马泰奥·贝雷蒂尼
<1%
弗朗西斯·蒂亚福
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Carlos Alcaraz at 40.5% implied probability to win the 2026 French Open, narrowly ahead of Jannik Sinner at 33.5%, reflecting their dominance as the ATP's top-ranked young stars with superior Grand Slam pedigrees on clay. Alcaraz's edge stems from his 2024 title run, Madrid and Barcelona Masters triumphs, and recent deep runs like the Shanghai semifinals, showcasing peak clay form and adaptability. Sinner, despite US Open success and world No. 1 status, trails slightly due to a hip illness forcing his Shanghai withdrawal last week, raising minor fitness questions despite his improving Paris semis history. The tight race underscores balanced surface matchups, injury uncertainties, and two-plus years for form shifts, rankings battles, and draw luck to evolve among a deep field including Djokovic's experience fade.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题