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2026年世界杯足球赛冠军

Market icon

2026年世界杯足球赛冠军

西班牙 15.8%

英格兰 12.8%

法国 11.1%

阿根廷 9.8%

Polymarket

$425,404,901 交易量

西班牙 15.8%

英格兰 12.8%

法国 11.1%

阿根廷 9.8%

Polymarket

$425,404,901 交易量

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西班牙

$5,572,873 交易量

16%

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英格兰

$6,545,179 交易量

13%

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法国

$4,207,695 交易量

11%

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阿根廷

$6,702,490 交易量

10%

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巴西

$6,394,602 交易量

9%

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葡萄牙

$8,038,370 交易量

7%

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德国

$6,714,689 交易量

5%

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荷兰

$8,960,619 交易量

3%

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挪威

$7,416,925 交易量

3%

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意大利

$7,690,036 交易量

2%

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比利时

$7,434,490 交易量

2%

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小组项标题:哥伦比亚

$7,030,843 交易量

2%

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美国

$4,646,690 交易量

2%

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摩洛哥

$8,760,485 交易量

2%

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日本

$8,570,428 交易量

1%

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乌拉圭

$7,381,015 交易量

1%

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墨西哥

$6,670,053 交易量

1%

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克罗地亚

$7,849,023 交易量

1%

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瑞士

$8,120,601 交易量

1%

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厄瓜多尔

$8,741,502 交易量

1%

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塞内加尔

$8,091,415 交易量

1%

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分组项标题:加拿大

$11,381,981 交易量

1%

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Austria

$10,026,647 交易量

1%

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South Korea

$13,131,816 交易量

<1%

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Paraguay

$11,361,960 交易量

<1%

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科特迪瓦

$8,686,662 交易量

<1%

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澳大利亚

$8,063,785 交易量

<1%

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加纳

$9,683,483 交易量

<1%

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阿尔及利亚

$10,215,452 交易量

<1%

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苏格兰

$10,831,395 交易量

<1%

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突尼斯

$10,791,509 交易量

<1%

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沙特阿拉伯

$17,255,066 交易量

<1%

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埃及

$10,093,412 交易量

<1%

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海地

$12,168,304 交易量

<1%

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约旦

$16,173,212 交易量

<1%

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库拉索

$19,589,602 交易量

<1%

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伊朗

$11,229,720 交易量

<1%

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南非

$19,127,638 交易量

<1%

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佛得角

$10,175,271 交易量

<1%

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分组项标题:卡塔尔

$11,231,079 交易量

<1%

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新西兰

$15,879,796 交易量

<1%

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Uzbekistan

$26,732,084 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain tops trader consensus at 16% implied probability for the 2026 FIFA World Cup title, buoyed by their Euro 2024 triumph, flawless UEFA qualifying campaign, and favorable group draw that delays clashes with rivals like Argentina, France, and England until semifinals or later. Recent March friendlies among qualified nations and playoff resolutions—such as Bolivia's 2-1 win over Suriname—yielded no major shocks, preserving a tightly bunched top tier where England (13%), France (11%), and Argentina (10%) trail closely amid balanced CONMEBOL and UEFA paths. The expanded 48-team format amplifies upset potential from dark horses like Norway (Haaland-led) and Colombia, while defending Copa América champions Argentina eye a Messi farewell run despite his advancing age.

Spain tops trader consensus at 16% implied probability for the 2026 FIFA World Cup title, buoyed by their Euro 2024 triumph, flawless UEFA qualifying campaign, and favorable group draw that delays clashes with rivals like Argentina, France, and England until semifinals or later. Recent March friendlies among qualified nations and playoff resolutions—such as Bolivia's 2-1 win over Suriname—yielded no major shocks, preserving a tightly bunched top tier where England (13%), France (11%), and Argentina (10%) trail closely amid balanced CONMEBOL and UEFA paths. The expanded 48-team format amplifies upset potential from dark horses like Norway (Haaland-led) and Colombia, while defending Copa América champions Argentina eye a Messi farewell run despite his advancing age.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain tops trader consensus at 16% implied probability for the 2026 FIFA World Cup title, buoyed by their Euro 2024 triumph, flawless UEFA qualifying campaign, and favorable group draw that delays clashes with rivals like Argentina, France, and England until semifinals or later. Recent March friendlies among qualified nations and playoff resolutions—such as Bolivia's 2-1 win over Suriname—yielded no major shocks, preserving a tightly bunched top tier where England (13%), France (11%), and Argentina (10%) trail closely amid balanced CONMEBOL and UEFA paths. The expanded 48-team format amplifies upset potential from dark horses like Norway (Haaland-led) and Colombia, while defending Copa América champions Argentina eye a Messi farewell run despite his advancing age.

Spain tops trader consensus at 16% implied probability for the 2026 FIFA World Cup title, buoyed by their Euro 2024 triumph, flawless UEFA qualifying campaign, and favorable group draw that delays clashes with rivals like Argentina, France, and England until semifinals or later. Recent March friendlies among qualified nations and playoff resolutions—such as Bolivia's 2-1 win over Suriname—yielded no major shocks, preserving a tightly bunched top tier where England (13%), France (11%), and Argentina (10%) trail closely amid balanced CONMEBOL and UEFA paths. The expanded 48-team format amplifies upset potential from dark horses like Norway (Haaland-led) and Colombia, while defending Copa América champions Argentina eye a Messi farewell run despite his advancing age.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2026年世界杯足球赛冠军 "是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 43+ 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"西班牙",概率为 16%,其次是"英格兰",概率为 13%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 16¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 16%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"2026年世界杯足球赛冠军 "已产生 $425.4 million 的总交易量(自Jul 2, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2026年世界杯足球赛冠军 "上交易,浏览本页上列出的 43+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年世界杯足球赛冠军 "的当前领先者是"西班牙",概率为 16%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 16%。紧随其后的结果是"英格兰",概率为 13%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年世界杯足球赛冠军 "的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。