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体育·足球

2026年世界杯足球赛：哪些国家有资格参赛？

Market icon
体育·足球

2026年世界杯足球赛：哪些国家有资格参赛？

$1,481,070 交易量

Apr 12, 2026
Polymarket

$1,481,070 交易量

Polymarket

意大利

$326,893 交易量

77%

刚果民主共和国

$4,275 交易量

72%

土耳其

$96,140 交易量

67%

瑞典

$143,265 交易量

65%

分组项标题：丹麦

$36,738 交易量

62%

伊拉克

$2,900 交易量

52%

玻利维亚

$6,620 交易量

50%

波兰

$491,359 交易量

38%

捷克共和国

$26,698 交易量

38%

牙买加

$1,959 交易量

36%

科索沃

$8,268 交易量

34%

分组项标题：波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那

$5,375 交易量

25%

This is a market on which teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g. they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from its group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).With FIFA World Cup 2026 qualification in its final throes, trader consensus hinges on the March 31 playoffs determining the last spots among 48 teams. UEFA's decisive ties—Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Italy, Sweden vs Poland, Kosovo vs Turkey, and Czech Republic vs Denmark—pit strong contenders against underdogs, following recent eliminations of Wales, Republic of Ireland, and Northern Ireland. Intercontinental finals pit Bolivia (2-1 winners over Suriname) against Iraq and Jamaica (1-0 vs New Caledonia) against DR Congo, after March 26 semifinals. Confirmed qualifiers include hosts USA, Canada, Mexico; CONMEBOL leaders Argentina, Ecuador, Colombia; AFC's Japan, Iran, Uzbekistan; OFC's New Zealand; and several CAF, CONCACAF sides like Panama, Haiti, Curaçao. Upcoming results will lock in the field amid high-stakes knockout pressure and home advantages.

With FIFA World Cup 2026 qualification in its final throes, trader consensus hinges on the March 31 playoffs determining the last spots among 48 teams. UEFA's decisive ties—Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Italy, Sweden vs Poland, Kosovo vs Turkey, and Czech Republic vs Denmark—pit strong contenders against underdogs, following recent eliminations of Wales, Republic of Ireland, and Northern Ireland. Intercontinental finals pit Bolivia (2-1 winners over Suriname) against Iraq and Jamaica (1-0 vs New Caledonia) against DR Congo, after March 26 semifinals. Confirmed qualifiers include hosts USA, Canada, Mexico; CONMEBOL leaders Argentina, Ecuador, Colombia; AFC's Japan, Iran, Uzbekistan; OFC's New Zealand; and several CAF, CONCACAF sides like Panama, Haiti, Curaçao. Upcoming results will lock in the field amid high-stakes knockout pressure and home advantages.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This is a market on which teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g. they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from its group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).With FIFA World Cup 2026 qualification in its final throes, trader consensus hinges on the March 31 playoffs determining the last spots among 48 teams. UEFA's decisive ties—Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Italy, Sweden vs Poland, Kosovo vs Turkey, and Czech Republic vs Denmark—pit strong contenders against underdogs, following recent eliminations of Wales, Republic of Ireland, and Northern Ireland. Intercontinental finals pit Bolivia (2-1 winners over Suriname) against Iraq and Jamaica (1-0 vs New Caledonia) against DR Congo, after March 26 semifinals. Confirmed qualifiers include hosts USA, Canada, Mexico; CONMEBOL leaders Argentina, Ecuador, Colombia; AFC's Japan, Iran, Uzbekistan; OFC's New Zealand; and several CAF, CONCACAF sides like Panama, Haiti, Curaçao. Upcoming results will lock in the field amid high-stakes knockout pressure and home advantages.

With FIFA World Cup 2026 qualification in its final throes, trader consensus hinges on the March 31 playoffs determining the last spots among 48 teams. UEFA's decisive ties—Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Italy, Sweden vs Poland, Kosovo vs Turkey, and Czech Republic vs Denmark—pit strong contenders against underdogs, following recent eliminations of Wales, Republic of Ireland, and Northern Ireland. Intercontinental finals pit Bolivia (2-1 winners over Suriname) against Iraq and Jamaica (1-0 vs New Caledonia) against DR Congo, after March 26 semifinals. Confirmed qualifiers include hosts USA, Canada, Mexico; CONMEBOL leaders Argentina, Ecuador, Colombia; AFC's Japan, Iran, Uzbekistan; OFC's New Zealand; and several CAF, CONCACAF sides like Panama, Haiti, Curaçao. Upcoming results will lock in the field amid high-stakes knockout pressure and home advantages.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"2026年世界杯足球赛：哪些国家有资格参赛？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 33 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"荷兰"，概率为 100%，其次是"比利时"，概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"2026年世界杯足球赛：哪些国家有资格参赛？"已产生 $1.5 million 的总交易量（自Jun 9, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2026年世界杯足球赛：哪些国家有资格参赛？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 33 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年世界杯足球赛：哪些国家有资格参赛？"的当前领先者是"荷兰"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"比利时"，概率为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年世界杯足球赛：哪些国家有资格参赛？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。