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2026 February 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

4th or lower 63%

3rd hottest 32%

2nd hottest 5.5%

1st hottest 2.0%

$15,225 交易量

规则

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 versus the data points available for all other Februaries on record.

Note: If February 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
交易量
$15,225
结束日期
Mar 10, 2026
创建于
Jan 30, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 versus the data points available for all other Februaries on record. Note: If February 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

注意外部链接。

Market icon

2026 February 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

4th or lower 63%

3rd hottest 32%

2nd hottest 5.5%

1st hottest 2.0%

$15,225 交易量

1st hottest

$630 交易量

2%

2nd hottest

$357 交易量

5%

3rd hottest

$6,624 交易量

32%

4th or lower

$7,614 交易量

63%

关于

交易量
$15,225
结束日期
Mar 10, 2026
创建于
Jan 30, 2026, 5:50 PM ET

注意外部链接。