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2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win this state?

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2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win this state?

$1,184,630 交易量

Nov 15, 2022
Polymarket

$1,184,630 交易量

Polymarket
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Iowa - Michael Franken vs. Chuck Grassley

$12,203 交易量

Republican

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Florida - Val Demings vs. Marco Rubio

$9,165 交易量

Republican

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Utah - Evan McMullin vs. Mike Lee

$7,332 交易量

Republican

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North Carolina - Cheri Beasley vs. Ted Budd

$29,575 交易量

Republican

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Wisconsin - Mandela Barnes vs. Ron Johnson

$24,770 交易量

Republican

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Ohio - Tim Ryan vs. J. D. Vance

$48,601 交易量

Republican

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Nevada - Catherine Cortez Masto vs. Adam Laxalt

$180,015 交易量

Democrat

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Pennsylvania - John Fetterman vs. Mehmet Oz

$181,084 交易量

Democrat

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Georgia - Raphael Warnock vs. Herschel Walker

$329,025 交易量

Democrat

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Arizona - Mark Kelly vs. Blake Masters

$256,628 交易量

Democrat

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New Hampshire - Maggie Hassan vs. Don Bolduc

$47,770 交易量

Democrat

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Washington - Patty Murray vs. Tiffany Smiley

$7,494 交易量

Democrat

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Colorado - Michael Bennet vs. Joe O'Dea

$43,442 交易量

Democrat

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Vermont - Peter Welch vs. Gerald Malloy

$7,526 交易量

Democrat

This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Iowa U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Iowa U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50.

Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.
交易量
$1,184,630
结束日期
Nov 8, 2022
市场开放时间
Jan 11, 2022, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0xCB1822859...
This market will resolve to “Democrat” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Iowa U.S. Senate election is representing the Democratic Party, or to “Republican” if the candidate who wins the 2022 Iowa U.S. Senate election is representing the Republican Party. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the winning candidate is from a party other than the Democratic or the Republican party, the market will resolve to 50/50. Determination of the winner of the Senate election will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.

已提议结果: Republican

无争议

最终结果: Republican

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win this state?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 14 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Nevada - Catherine Cortez Masto vs. Adam Laxalt"，概率为 100%，其次是"Pennsylvania - John Fetterman vs. Mehmet Oz"，概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win this state?"已产生 $1.2 million 的总交易量（自Jan 12, 2022市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win this state?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 14 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win this state?"的当前领先者是"Nevada - Catherine Cortez Masto vs. Adam Laxalt"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Pennsylvania - John Fetterman vs. Mehmet Oz"，概率为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win this state?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。