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監測 預測與賠率

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美國會在2026年奪取另一位世界領導者嗎?

美國會在2026年奪取另一位世界領導者嗎?

8%

$73.7K 交易量

$21.9K Liq.

3

Ends 6 個月內

2026年第24周流感住院率?

2026年第24周流感住院率?

99%

85–90

$3.8K 交易量

$2.8K Liq.

Ends 1 天內

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

70%

July 31

$674 交易量

$2.9K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

21%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$7.7K Liq.

135

Ends 6 個月內

Epstein storage units raided in 2026?

Epstein storage units raided in 2026?

22%

$7.3K 交易量

$12.1K Liq.

4

Ends 6 個月內

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

3%

June 30

$168K 交易量

$10.5K Liq.

10

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

64%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$8.8K 交易量

$32.3K Liq.

1

Ends 6 個月內

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

52%

December 31, 2027

$502K 交易量

$6.1K Liq.

32

Ends 超過 1 年內

Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?

Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?

1%

$20.2K 交易量

$11.8K Liq.

Ends 4 天內

Epstein client list released by...?

Epstein client list released by...?

1%

June 30

$4M 交易量

$36.6K Liq.

1,050

Ends 4 天內

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

86%

Not revealed in 2026

$14.1K 交易量

$55.0K Liq.

5

Ends 6 個月內

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

65%

$477 交易量

$96 Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K 交易量

$443 Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?

Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?

<1%

$41.2K 交易量

$21.8K Liq.

2

Ends 4 天內

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

30%

$266 交易量

$29 Liq.

1

Ends 4 天內

Zelenskyy # posts June 26 - July 3, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts June 26 - July 3, 2026?

30%

60-79

$1.5K 交易量

$11.3K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

92%

December 31, 2026

$7M 交易量

$141K Liq.

574

Ends 6 個月前

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

27%

Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar

$143K 交易量

$548 Liq.

2

Ends 4 個月前

Zelenskyy # posts June 23 - June 30, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts June 23 - June 30, 2026?

35%

60-79

$2.6K 交易量

$1.5K Liq.

Ends 5 天內

Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?

Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?

<1%

$33.1K 交易量

$11.4K Liq.

5

Ends 4 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 監測.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for 監測 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “美國會在2026年奪取另一位世界領導者嗎?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $14.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 92% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 監測 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.