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Merz 預測與賠率

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Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

16%

$167K 交易量

$24.6K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Who will Trump speak to in May?

Who will Trump speak to in May?

62%

Mark Rutte

$846K 交易量

$130K today

$135K Liq.

Ends 14 天內

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

38%

Starmer - UK PM

$355K 交易量

$266K Liq.

3

Ends 8 個月內

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

86%

Giorgia Meloni

$484K 交易量

$137K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

62%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$103K 交易量

$66.9K Liq.

Ends 14 天內

NHL Vezina Trophy Winner

NHL Vezina Trophy Winner

90%

Andrei Vasilevskiy

$101K 交易量

$1.1K Liq.

1

Ends 大約 1 個月內

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Tereza Martincova vs Camila Osorio

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Tereza Martincova vs Camila Osorio

82%

Camila Osorio

$653 交易量

$2.1K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group B

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group B

77%

TheMongolz

$90 交易量

$7.0K Liq.

Ends 3 天內

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Dalila Spiteri vs Caijsa Hennemann

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Dalila Spiteri vs Caijsa Hennemann

79%

Caijsa Hennemann

$2.9K 交易量

$20.5K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Polona Hercog vs Anna Bondar

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Polona Hercog vs Anna Bondar

73%

Anna Bondar

$1.4K 交易量

$5.2K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Berfu Cengiz

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Berfu Cengiz

71%

Berfu Cengiz

$123 交易量

$1.1K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

100%

TheMongolz

$965K 交易量

$82 Liq.

Ends 6 天前

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Emiliana Arango vs Ella Seidel

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Emiliana Arango vs Ella Seidel

57%

Ella Seidel

$0 交易量

$1.6K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Alycia Parks vs Moyuka Uchijima

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Alycia Parks vs Moyuka Uchijima

55%

Moyuka Uchijima

$22 交易量

$2.6K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

63%

9z

$62 交易量

$4.8K Liq.

Ends 11 天內

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Julia Grabher

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Julia Grabher

51%

Julia Grabher

$2.2K 交易量

$2.8K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

64%

GamerLegion

$0 交易量

$4.5K Liq.

Ends 16 天內

Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

62%

M80

$0 交易量

$5.3K Liq.

Ends 16 天內

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Simona Waltert vs Anhelina Kalinina

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Simona Waltert vs Anhelina Kalinina

62%

Anhelina Kalinina

$0 交易量

$1.1K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Anastasia Zolotareva vs Vera Zvonareva

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Anastasia Zolotareva vs Vera Zvonareva

72%

Vera Zvonareva

$335 交易量

$9.1K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Merz.

Polymarket currently hosts 111 active markets for Merz that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Who will Trump speak to in May?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to TheMongolz. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Merz predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.