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法律 預測與賠率

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《明晰度法案》已於2026年簽署成為法律?

《明晰度法案》已於2026年簽署成為法律?

44%

$1M 交易量

$58.5K Liq.

129

Ends 6 個月內

哪些法案將在2026年成為法律?

哪些法案將在2026年成為法律?

97%

21世紀住房法案

$130K 交易量

$44.1K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

SAVE Act通過以下方式成爲法律…… ?

SAVE Act通過以下方式成爲法律…… ?

24%

12月31日

$446K 交易量

$45.3K Liq.

5

Ends 大約 2 個月前

H.R. 22 ( SAVE Act )在2026年簽署成為法律?

H.R. 22 ( SAVE Act )在2026年簽署成為法律?

8%

$171K 交易量

$32.2K Liq.

21

Ends 6 個月內

2026年頒布的禁止體育預測市場的法律?

2026年頒布的禁止體育預測市場的法律?

16%

$16.7K 交易量

$9.8K Liq.

Ends 3 天內

H.R. 7296 (拯救美國法案)通過……成為法律?

H.R. 7296 (拯救美國法案)通過……成為法律?

1%

6 月 30 日

$68.0K 交易量

$15.2K Liq.

3

Ends 3 天內

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

2%

$584 交易量

$7.5K Liq.

Ends 3 天內

Rotisserie Chicken Act becomes law by June 30?

Rotisserie Chicken Act becomes law by June 30?

6%

$892 交易量

$136 Liq.

Ends 3 天內

將性工作合法化的科羅拉多州法案在2026年成為法律?

將性工作合法化的科羅拉多州法案在2026年成為法律?

4%

$717 交易量

$81 Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

魯莽的本在7月31日前被捕?

魯莽的本在7月31日前被捕?

17%

$21 交易量

$320 Liq.

Ends 3 天內

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

43%

$282 交易量

$98 Liq.

1

Ends 3 天內

SPLC在2026年被判有罪?

SPLC在2026年被判有罪?

65%

$477 交易量

$78 Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Who will be arrested before 2027?

Who will be arrested before 2027?

36%

John Brennan

$158K 交易量

$183K Liq.

4

Mamdani會在2027年之前凍結紐約市的租金嗎?

Mamdani會在2027年之前凍結紐約市的租金嗎?

86%

$269K 交易量

$29.9K Liq.

34

Ends 6 個月內

伊朗會將同性婚姻合法化嗎?

伊朗會將同性婚姻合法化嗎?

2%

$62.8K 交易量

$48.9K Liq.

26

Ends 6 個月內

美國會在…前正式向委內瑞拉宣戰嗎?

美國會在…前正式向委內瑞拉宣戰嗎?

<1%

2026年6月30日

$4M 交易量

$71.3K Liq.

46

Ends 3 天內

美國會在…前正式向伊朗宣戰嗎?

美國會在…前正式向伊朗宣戰嗎?

5%

12月31日

$8M 交易量

$75.3K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

97%

North Carolina

$324K 交易量

$291K Liq.

5

Ends 4 個月內

2026年授權的美國軍事選拔?

2026年授權的美國軍事選拔?

9%

$404K 交易量

$40.8K Liq.

10

Ends 6 個月內

以色列會在…前吞併任何領土嗎?

以色列會在…前吞併任何領土嗎?

12%

2026年12月31日

$457K 交易量

$36.7K Liq.

48

Ends 6 個月前

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 72 active markets for 法律 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “《明晰度法案》已於2026年簽署成為法律?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $15.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “2026年授權的美國軍事選拔?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “美國會在…前正式向伊朗宣戰嗎?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “美國會在…前正式向伊朗宣戰嗎?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 5% chance to 12月31日. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 法律 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.