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智力 預測與賠率

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FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

97%

$38.8K 交易量

$11.8K Liq.

Ends 7 天前

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

11%

$67.9K 交易量

$6.4K Liq.

11

Ends 8 個月內

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

19%

$31.9K 交易量

$21.3K Liq.

1

Ends 24 天內

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

39%

$563K 交易量

$34.5K Liq.

143

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

8%

May 31

$826K 交易量

$29.7K Liq.

45

Ends 24 天內

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

7%

June 30

$1M 交易量

$21.8K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 4-10?

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 4-10?

97%

OpenAI

$17.1K 交易量

$24.7K Liq.

Ends 3 天內

US strike on Colombia by...?

US strike on Colombia by...?

17%

December 31

$2M 交易量

$22.3K Liq.

43

Ends 3 個月前

US military action against Cuba by...?

US military action against Cuba by...?

37%

December 31

$3M 交易量

$140K Liq.

56

Ends 8 個月內

US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

14%

December 31

$3M 交易量

$23.8K Liq.

163

Ends 8 個月內

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

37%

$4.5K 交易量

$21.4K Liq.

1

Ends 24 天內

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?

36%

June 30

$129K 交易量

$34.3K Liq.

6

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

9%

$50.0K 交易量

$16.8K Liq.

2

Ends 8 個月內

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

2%

June 30, 2026

$280K 交易量

$22.1K Liq.

16

Ends 4 個月前

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

35%

Tulsi Gabbard

$10.5K 交易量

$36.6K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

11%

December 31

$3M 交易量

$12.3K Liq.

57

Ends 3 個月前

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

32%

2

$2.8K 交易量

$59.4K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?

Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?

10%

$2.8K 交易量

$14.4K Liq.

Ends 24 天內

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

16%

$8.6K 交易量

$12.6K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

-

$1 交易量

$141 Liq.

Ends 7 天前

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 154 active markets for 智力 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $14.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US strike on Mexico by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US strike on Mexico by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 14% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 智力 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.