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選舉·紐約市市長

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

Market icon
選舉·紐約市市長

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

12月 31

12月 31

9% 機率
Polymarket

$23,325 交易量

9% 機率
Polymarket

$23,325 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 91% for Zohran Mamdani's citizenship revocation before 2027, reflecting the high legal barriers to denaturalization and absence of Department of Justice action despite partisan pressure. In October 2025, House Republicans including Rep. Andy Ogles urged DOJ to probe Mamdani's 2018 naturalization application for alleged undisclosed affiliations, amid his successful New York City mayoral campaign as a Uganda-born naturalized citizen. However, no investigations, charges, or proceedings have materialized into 2026, aligning with Supreme Court precedents rejecting citizenship stripping as a political weapon and requiring proof of willful fraud on Form N-400. Experts note the rarity of such cases, leaving odds stable absent new evidentiary developments or executive orders.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$23,325
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 1:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 91% for Zohran Mamdani's citizenship revocation before 2027, reflecting the high legal barriers to denaturalization and absence of Department of Justice action despite partisan pressure. In October 2025, House Republicans including Rep. Andy Ogles urged DOJ to probe Mamdani's 2018 naturalization application for alleged undisclosed affiliations, amid his successful New York City mayoral campaign as a Uganda-born naturalized citizen. However, no investigations, charges, or proceedings have materialized into 2026, aligning with Supreme Court precedents rejecting citizenship stripping as a political weapon and requiring proof of willful fraud on Form N-400. Experts note the rarity of such cases, leaving odds stable absent new evidentiary developments or executive orders.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$23,325
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 1:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 9% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 9¢, the market collectively assigns a 9% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?" has generated $23.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?" is 9% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 9% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.