Mayor Zohran Mamdani's six appointees to the nine-member Rent Guidelines Board grant a majority tilt toward his campaign pledge for a rent freeze on nearly one million stabilized apartments before 2027, but traders' 64% "No" consensus reflects skepticism after the board's March 26 kickoff, where data showed landlord net operating income up 6% despite rising costs like insurance and taxes. Landlord groups decry small owner hardships and lobby against zero hikes—absent since 2015 under pro-tenant mayors—while Mamdani's proposed 9.5% property tax increase in the $127 billion budget adds pressure for adjustments. Upcoming public hearings, a preliminary vote in late April, and final June decision for October leases keep the outcome contested.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
$243,369 交易量
$243,369 交易量
是
$243,369 交易量
$243,369 交易量
1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. The New York City Rent Guidelines Board implements rent adjustments at 0.0 % for both one-year and two-year renewal leases for rent-stabilized apartments citywide by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The policy will be considered implemented only if a 0.0 % increases for both one-year and two-year renewal leases is in effect by the resolution date. An announced intention or proposed order not yet effective will not qualify. Orders that are blocked, enjoined, or otherwise prevented from taking effect by the deadline will not qualify.
If the policy is enacted through another official mechanism, including but not limited to a mayoral executive order, local legislation, or state law, and goes into effect by the resolution date it will qualify.
Orders that apply only to one lease term (e.g., 0 % on one-year but > 0 % on two-year), apply only to specific unit types (e.g., hotels or SROs), or relate to non-stabilized units will not qualify. Policies which include limited exceptions — such as exclusions for specific categories of rent-stabilized units (e.g., hardship exemptions, temporarily exempt buildings, or administrative carveouts) — will still qualify as long as a general policy of 0 % rent adjustment for both one-year and two-year renewal leases on rent-stabilized apartments and lofts is in effect citywide.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official Rent Guidelines Board materials.
市場開放時間: Nov 3, 2025, 9:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. The New York City Rent Guidelines Board implements rent adjustments at 0.0 % for both one-year and two-year renewal leases for rent-stabilized apartments citywide by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The policy will be considered implemented only if a 0.0 % increases for both one-year and two-year renewal leases is in effect by the resolution date. An announced intention or proposed order not yet effective will not qualify. Orders that are blocked, enjoined, or otherwise prevented from taking effect by the deadline will not qualify.
If the policy is enacted through another official mechanism, including but not limited to a mayoral executive order, local legislation, or state law, and goes into effect by the resolution date it will qualify.
Orders that apply only to one lease term (e.g., 0 % on one-year but > 0 % on two-year), apply only to specific unit types (e.g., hotels or SROs), or relate to non-stabilized units will not qualify. Policies which include limited exceptions — such as exclusions for specific categories of rent-stabilized units (e.g., hardship exemptions, temporarily exempt buildings, or administrative carveouts) — will still qualify as long as a general policy of 0 % rent adjustment for both one-year and two-year renewal leases on rent-stabilized apartments and lofts is in effect citywide.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official Rent Guidelines Board materials.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mayor Zohran Mamdani's six appointees to the nine-member Rent Guidelines Board grant a majority tilt toward his campaign pledge for a rent freeze on nearly one million stabilized apartments before 2027, but traders' 64% "No" consensus reflects skepticism after the board's March 26 kickoff, where data showed landlord net operating income up 6% despite rising costs like insurance and taxes. Landlord groups decry small owner hardships and lobby against zero hikes—absent since 2015 under pro-tenant mayors—while Mamdani's proposed 9.5% property tax increase in the $127 billion budget adds pressure for adjustments. Upcoming public hearings, a preliminary vote in late April, and final June decision for October leases keep the outcome contested.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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