Trader consensus reflects 98.6% implied probability on "No" for President Trump visiting North Korea by April 30, driven by the absence of any official announcements, preparatory diplomacy, or scheduling signals in the final weeks of the resolution window. Earlier in March, Trump expressed openness to meeting Kim Jong Un potentially during a now-uncertain late-March China trip amid U.S. foreign policy focus on Iran tensions and Xi summit complications, but no North Korea-specific plans materialized amid Pyongyang's missile activities and expanding ties elsewhere. Logistical challenges, security protocols, and lack of bilateral momentum make a sudden visit improbable; only an abrupt invitation from Kim with expedited U.S. acceptance could shift odds, though historical summit precedents required months of groundwork.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
$86,195 交易量
$86,195 交易量
2026-04-30
是
$86,195 交易量
$86,195 交易量
2026-04-30
If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus reflects 98.6% implied probability on "No" for President Trump visiting North Korea by April 30, driven by the absence of any official announcements, preparatory diplomacy, or scheduling signals in the final weeks of the resolution window. Earlier in March, Trump expressed openness to meeting Kim Jong Un potentially during a now-uncertain late-March China trip amid U.S. foreign policy focus on Iran tensions and Xi summit complications, but no North Korea-specific plans materialized amid Pyongyang's missile activities and expanding ties elsewhere. Logistical challenges, security protocols, and lack of bilateral momentum make a sudden visit improbable; only an abrupt invitation from Kim with expedited U.S. acceptance could shift odds, though historical summit precedents required months of groundwork.
If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Feb 16, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
交易量
$86,195結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Feb 16, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus reflects 98.6% implied probability on "No" for President Trump visiting North Korea by April 30, driven by the absence of any official announcements, preparatory diplomacy, or scheduling signals in the final weeks of the resolution window. Earlier in March, Trump expressed openness to meeting Kim Jong Un potentially during a now-uncertain late-March China trip amid U.S. foreign policy focus on Iran tensions and Xi summit complications, but no North Korea-specific plans materialized amid Pyongyang's missile activities and expanding ties elsewhere. Logistical challenges, security protocols, and lack of bilateral momentum make a sudden visit improbable; only an abrupt invitation from Kim with expedited U.S. acceptance could shift odds, though historical summit precedents required months of groundwork.
If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$86,195結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Feb 16, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects 98.6% implied probability on "No" for President Trump visiting North Korea by April 30, driven by the absence of any official announcements, preparatory diplomacy, or scheduling signals in the final weeks of the resolution window. Earlier in March, Trump expressed openness to meeting Kim Jong Un potentially during a now-uncertain late-March China trip amid U.S. foreign policy focus on Iran tensions and Xi summit complications, but no North Korea-specific plans materialized amid Pyongyang's missile activities and expanding ties elsewhere. Logistical challenges, security protocols, and lack of bilateral momentum make a sudden visit improbable; only an abrupt invitation from Kim with expedited U.S. acceptance could shift odds, though historical summit precedents required months of groundwork.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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