Gold futures (GC) settled at $4,492.50 on March 27, rebounding over 2.5% amid dip-buying after a brutal 10% weekly plunge—the worst since 1983—triggered by a stronger U.S. dollar (DXY near 100.20) and rising 10-year Treasury yields to 4.42%, which elevated gold's opportunity cost. Escalating Middle East tensions, including U.S.-Iran risks, have bolstered safe-haven demand, countering dollar strength and supporting the recovery, while persistent central bank buying from BRICS nations underpins longer-term sentiment. With resolution imminent by March 31 close, traders eye Tuesday's JOLTS data for labor market insights that could sway Fed rate cut odds, alongside month-end rebalancing flows. Polymarket trader consensus prices conservative upside potential given heightened volatility.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$3,119,666 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,600
<1%
↑ $6,400
<1%
↑ $6,200
<1%
↑ 6,000美元
<1%
↑ $5,800
<1%
↑ $5,600
<1%
↑ $5,500
<1%
↑ $5,400
<1%
↓ 4,300美元
9%
↓ $4,000
3%
↓ $3,600
<1%
↓ $3,000
<1%
$3,119,666 交易量
↑ $10,000
$324,547 交易量
<1%
↑ $7,000
$361,178 交易量
<1%
↑ $6,600
$107,212 交易量
<1%
↑ $6,400
$80,488 交易量
<1%
↑ $6,200
$105,983 交易量
<1%
↑ 6,000美元
$42,651 交易量
<1%
↑ $5,800
$77,025 交易量
<1%
↑ $5,600
$71,647 交易量
<1%
↑ $5,500
$66,218 交易量
<1%
↑ $5,400
$185,149 交易量
<1%
↓ 4,300美元
$199,790 交易量
9%
↓ $4,000
$234,490 交易量
3%
↓ $3,600
$224,582 交易量
<1%
↓ $3,000
$399,332 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) settled at $4,492.50 on March 27, rebounding over 2.5% amid dip-buying after a brutal 10% weekly plunge—the worst since 1983—triggered by a stronger U.S. dollar (DXY near 100.20) and rising 10-year Treasury yields to 4.42%, which elevated gold's opportunity cost. Escalating Middle East tensions, including U.S.-Iran risks, have bolstered safe-haven demand, countering dollar strength and supporting the recovery, while persistent central bank buying from BRICS nations underpins longer-term sentiment. With resolution imminent by March 31 close, traders eye Tuesday's JOLTS data for labor market insights that could sway Fed rate cut odds, alongside month-end rebalancing flows. Polymarket trader consensus prices conservative upside potential given heightened volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市場開放時間： Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
交易量
$3,119,666結束日期
Mar 31, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) settled at $4,492.50 on March 27, rebounding over 2.5% amid dip-buying after a brutal 10% weekly plunge—the worst since 1983—triggered by a stronger U.S. dollar (DXY near 100.20) and rising 10-year Treasury yields to 4.42%, which elevated gold's opportunity cost. Escalating Middle East tensions, including U.S.-Iran risks, have bolstered safe-haven demand, countering dollar strength and supporting the recovery, while persistent central bank buying from BRICS nations underpins longer-term sentiment. With resolution imminent by March 31 close, traders eye Tuesday's JOLTS data for labor market insights that could sway Fed rate cut odds, alongside month-end rebalancing flows. Polymarket trader consensus prices conservative upside potential given heightened volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
交易量
$3,119,666結束日期
Mar 31, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
Gold futures (GC) settled at $4,492.50 on March 27, rebounding over 2.5% amid dip-buying after a brutal 10% weekly plunge—the worst since 1983—triggered by a stronger U.S. dollar (DXY near 100.20) and rising 10-year Treasury yields to 4.42%, which elevated gold's opportunity cost. Escalating Middle East tensions, including U.S.-Iran risks, have bolstered safe-haven demand, countering dollar strength and supporting the recovery, while persistent central bank buying from BRICS nations underpins longer-term sentiment. With resolution imminent by March 31 close, traders eye Tuesday's JOLTS data for labor market insights that could sway Fed rate cut odds, alongside month-end rebalancing flows. Polymarket trader consensus prices conservative upside potential given heightened volatility.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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