Gold (GC) front-month futures surged 2.6% to a $4,524 settlement on March 27, propelled by safe-haven demand amid heightened US-Iran tensions and a softer US dollar index at 100.19, partially offsetting a prior 10% March plunge driven by peak 10-year Treasury yields near 4.48% and reduced Fed rate-cut odds. This volatility underscores trader consensus on Polymarket, where real-capital bets price in geopolitical risk premiums battling persistent inflation signals from recent core PCE at 3.1%. With March 31 resolution approaching, focus shifts to quarter-end flows, potential PCE updates, and dollar dynamics, as any escalation in Middle East strife or yield retreat could propel prices toward key thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$2,985,325 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,600
<1%
↑ $6,400
<1%
↑ $6,200
<1%
↑ 6,000美元
<1%
↑ $5,800
<1%
↑ $5,600
<1%
↑ $5,500
<1%
↑ $5,400
1%
↓ 4,300美元
9%
↓ $4,000
3%
↓ $3,600
<1%
↓ $3,000
<1%
$2,985,325 交易量
↑ $10,000
$322,547 交易量
<1%
↑ $7,000
$361,158 交易量
<1%
↑ $6,600
$105,312 交易量
<1%
↑ $6,400
$80,488 交易量
<1%
↑ $6,200
$96,510 交易量
<1%
↑ 6,000美元
$42,641 交易量
<1%
↑ $5,800
$77,015 交易量
<1%
↑ $5,600
$70,513 交易量
<1%
↑ $5,500
$64,976 交易量
<1%
↑ $5,400
$178,912 交易量
1%
↓ 4,300美元
$195,412 交易量
9%
↓ $4,000
$228,450 交易量
3%
↓ $3,600
$216,502 交易量
<1%
↓ $3,000
$305,464 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold (GC) front-month futures surged 2.6% to a $4,524 settlement on March 27, propelled by safe-haven demand amid heightened US-Iran tensions and a softer US dollar index at 100.19, partially offsetting a prior 10% March plunge driven by peak 10-year Treasury yields near 4.48% and reduced Fed rate-cut odds. This volatility underscores trader consensus on Polymarket, where real-capital bets price in geopolitical risk premiums battling persistent inflation signals from recent core PCE at 3.1%. With March 31 resolution approaching, focus shifts to quarter-end flows, potential PCE updates, and dollar dynamics, as any escalation in Middle East strife or yield retreat could propel prices toward key thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市場開放時間： Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
交易量
$2,985,325結束日期
Mar 31, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold (GC) front-month futures surged 2.6% to a $4,524 settlement on March 27, propelled by safe-haven demand amid heightened US-Iran tensions and a softer US dollar index at 100.19, partially offsetting a prior 10% March plunge driven by peak 10-year Treasury yields near 4.48% and reduced Fed rate-cut odds. This volatility underscores trader consensus on Polymarket, where real-capital bets price in geopolitical risk premiums battling persistent inflation signals from recent core PCE at 3.1%. With March 31 resolution approaching, focus shifts to quarter-end flows, potential PCE updates, and dollar dynamics, as any escalation in Middle East strife or yield retreat could propel prices toward key thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
交易量
$2,985,325結束日期
Mar 31, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
Gold (GC) front-month futures surged 2.6% to a $4,524 settlement on March 27, propelled by safe-haven demand amid heightened US-Iran tensions and a softer US dollar index at 100.19, partially offsetting a prior 10% March plunge driven by peak 10-year Treasury yields near 4.48% and reduced Fed rate-cut odds. This volatility underscores trader consensus on Polymarket, where real-capital bets price in geopolitical risk premiums battling persistent inflation signals from recent core PCE at 3.1%. With March 31 resolution approaching, focus shifts to quarter-end flows, potential PCE updates, and dollar dynamics, as any escalation in Middle East strife or yield retreat could propel prices toward key thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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