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運動·UFC

誰將在2026年底成為UFC輕量級冠軍？

Market icon
運動·UFC

誰將在2026年底成為UFC輕量級冠軍？

伊利亞·托普里亞 64%

Arman Tsarukyan 26%

賈斯汀·蓋奇 17.8%

查爾斯·奧利維拉 10.9%

Polymarket

$15,666 交易量

伊利亞·托普里亞 64%

Arman Tsarukyan 26%

賈斯汀·蓋奇 17.8%

查爾斯·奧利維拉 10.9%

Polymarket

$15,666 交易量

伊利亞·托普里亞

$5,493 交易量

64%

Arman Tsarukyan

$1,048 交易量

22%

查爾斯·奧利維拉

$1,110 交易量

11%

Max Holloway

$917 交易量

1%

賈斯汀·蓋奇

$1,607 交易量

13%

帕迪·平布利特

$2,248 交易量

<1%

丹·胡克

$626 交易量

1%

Mateusz Gamrot

$580 交易量

<1%

Benoît Saint Denis

$832 交易量

1%

拉斐爾·菲齊耶夫

$627 交易量

1%

雷納托·莫伊卡諾

$579 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Ilia Topuria's status as undisputed UFC lightweight champion, secured via first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira last June, drives his 64% implied probability as traders' consensus to hold the belt through 2026, bolstered by his undefeated record, elite striking power, and knockout wins over Max Holloway and prior featherweight foes lacking elite wrestling. Recent Khabib Nurmagomedov comments (March 16) naming Arman Tsarukyan the division's best wrestler elevate him to 21%, highlighting stylistic matchup edges untested by Topuria, with Tsarukyan eyeing a late-2026 title shot post his dominant wrestling rematch win over Georgio Poullas on March 28. Justin Gaethje's interim title recapture against Paddy Pimblett fuels his 12.6% upset potential in the June 14 unification at UFC White House, while Oliveira's BMF win over Holloway at UFC 326 (March 7) sustains his 10.9% path via contender bouts.

Ilia Topuria's status as undisputed UFC lightweight champion, secured via first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira last June, drives his 64% implied probability as traders' consensus to hold the belt through 2026, bolstered by his undefeated record, elite striking power, and knockout wins over Max Holloway and prior featherweight foes lacking elite wrestling. Recent Khabib Nurmagomedov comments (March 16) naming Arman Tsarukyan the division's best wrestler elevate him to 21%, highlighting stylistic matchup edges untested by Topuria, with Tsarukyan eyeing a late-2026 title shot post his dominant wrestling rematch win over Georgio Poullas on March 28. Justin Gaethje's interim title recapture against Paddy Pimblett fuels his 12.6% upset potential in the June 14 unification at UFC White House, while Oliveira's BMF win over Holloway at UFC 326 (March 7) sustains his 10.9% path via contender bouts.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Ilia Topuria's status as undisputed UFC lightweight champion, secured via first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira last June, drives his 64% implied probability as traders' consensus to hold the belt through 2026, bolstered by his undefeated record, elite striking power, and knockout wins over Max Holloway and prior featherweight foes lacking elite wrestling. Recent Khabib Nurmagomedov comments (March 16) naming Arman Tsarukyan the division's best wrestler elevate him to 21%, highlighting stylistic matchup edges untested by Topuria, with Tsarukyan eyeing a late-2026 title shot post his dominant wrestling rematch win over Georgio Poullas on March 28. Justin Gaethje's interim title recapture against Paddy Pimblett fuels his 12.6% upset potential in the June 14 unification at UFC White House, while Oliveira's BMF win over Holloway at UFC 326 (March 7) sustains his 10.9% path via contender bouts.

Ilia Topuria's status as undisputed UFC lightweight champion, secured via first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira last June, drives his 64% implied probability as traders' consensus to hold the belt through 2026, bolstered by his undefeated record, elite striking power, and knockout wins over Max Holloway and prior featherweight foes lacking elite wrestling. Recent Khabib Nurmagomedov comments (March 16) naming Arman Tsarukyan the division's best wrestler elevate him to 21%, highlighting stylistic matchup edges untested by Topuria, with Tsarukyan eyeing a late-2026 title shot post his dominant wrestling rematch win over Georgio Poullas on March 28. Justin Gaethje's interim title recapture against Paddy Pimblett fuels his 12.6% upset potential in the June 14 unification at UFC White House, while Oliveira's BMF win over Holloway at UFC 326 (March 7) sustains his 10.9% path via contender bouts.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將在2026年底成為UFC輕量級冠軍？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "伊利亞·托普里亞" at 64%, followed by "Arman Tsarukyan" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "誰將在2026年底成為UFC輕量級冠軍？" has generated $15.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "誰將在2026年底成為UFC輕量級冠軍？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將在2026年底成為UFC輕量級冠軍？" is "伊利亞·托普里亞" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arman Tsarukyan" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將在2026年底成為UFC輕量級冠軍？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.