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運動·世界杯

哪個大陸將贏得2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍？

Market icon
運動·世界杯

哪個大陸將贏得2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍？

歐洲 69%

南美洲 22%

非洲 3.9%

北美 2.4%

Polymarket

$1,479,404 交易量

歐洲 69%

南美洲 22%

非洲 3.9%

北美 2.4%

Polymarket

$1,479,404 交易量

歐洲

$40,519 交易量

69%

南美洲

$21,312 交易量

22%

非洲

$909,175 交易量

4%

北美

$156,384 交易量

2%

亞洲

$179,185 交易量

2%

大洋洲

$172,830 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026. For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent). The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus implies a 68.5% probability for Europe claiming the 2026 FIFA World Cup trophy, fueled by UEFA securing all 16 slots with group winners like Spain, France, England, Germany, Portugal, and Netherlands, plus recent playoff semifinal triumphs on March 26 where Italy defeated Northern Ireland 2-0, Denmark routed North Macedonia 4-0, Sweden beat Ukraine 3-1, and Czech Republic advanced past Republic of Ireland on penalties, underscoring continental depth. South America's 21.5% reflects six direct qualifiers including defending champions Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay, and Colombia, strengthened by Bolivia's 2-1 inter-confederation playoff win over Suriname. Africa (3.9%), Asia (2.1%), North America (2.4% despite hosts USA, Canada, Mexico), and Oceania (0.4%) trail due to fewer elite contenders amid expanded allocations, with pending March 31 finals unlikely to shift dynamics significantly.

Trader consensus implies a 68.5% probability for Europe claiming the 2026 FIFA World Cup trophy, fueled by UEFA securing all 16 slots with group winners like Spain, France, England, Germany, Portugal, and Netherlands, plus recent playoff semifinal triumphs on March 26 where Italy defeated Northern Ireland 2-0, Denmark routed North Macedonia 4-0, Sweden beat Ukraine 3-1, and Czech Republic advanced past Republic of Ireland on penalties, underscoring continental depth. South America's 21.5% reflects six direct qualifiers including defending champions Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay, and Colombia, strengthened by Bolivia's 2-1 inter-confederation playoff win over Suriname. Africa (3.9%), Asia (2.1%), North America (2.4% despite hosts USA, Canada, Mexico), and Oceania (0.4%) trail due to fewer elite contenders amid expanded allocations, with pending March 31 finals unlikely to shift dynamics significantly.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026. For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent). The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus implies a 68.5% probability for Europe claiming the 2026 FIFA World Cup trophy, fueled by UEFA securing all 16 slots with group winners like Spain, France, England, Germany, Portugal, and Netherlands, plus recent playoff semifinal triumphs on March 26 where Italy defeated Northern Ireland 2-0, Denmark routed North Macedonia 4-0, Sweden beat Ukraine 3-1, and Czech Republic advanced past Republic of Ireland on penalties, underscoring continental depth. South America's 21.5% reflects six direct qualifiers including defending champions Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay, and Colombia, strengthened by Bolivia's 2-1 inter-confederation playoff win over Suriname. Africa (3.9%), Asia (2.1%), North America (2.4% despite hosts USA, Canada, Mexico), and Oceania (0.4%) trail due to fewer elite contenders amid expanded allocations, with pending March 31 finals unlikely to shift dynamics significantly.

Trader consensus implies a 68.5% probability for Europe claiming the 2026 FIFA World Cup trophy, fueled by UEFA securing all 16 slots with group winners like Spain, France, England, Germany, Portugal, and Netherlands, plus recent playoff semifinal triumphs on March 26 where Italy defeated Northern Ireland 2-0, Denmark routed North Macedonia 4-0, Sweden beat Ukraine 3-1, and Czech Republic advanced past Republic of Ireland on penalties, underscoring continental depth. South America's 21.5% reflects six direct qualifiers including defending champions Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay, and Colombia, strengthened by Bolivia's 2-1 inter-confederation playoff win over Suriname. Africa (3.9%), Asia (2.1%), North America (2.4% despite hosts USA, Canada, Mexico), and Oceania (0.4%) trail due to fewer elite contenders amid expanded allocations, with pending March 31 finals unlikely to shift dynamics significantly.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哪個大陸將贏得2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "歐洲" at 69%, followed by "南美洲" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哪個大陸將贏得2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍？" has generated $1.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 8, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哪個大陸將贏得2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍？," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哪個大陸將贏得2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍？" is "歐洲" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "南美洲" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哪個大陸將贏得2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.