Trader consensus prices a DHS shutdown end closely clustered in early to late April, with Before April 1 at 30% slightly ahead of 25-27% for weekly bins through April 30, signaling high uncertainty over congressional funding timelines. The March 23 continuing resolution extended DHS operations through September 30 but underscored partisan gridlock, as House Republicans demand spending reductions and bolstered border security funding for ICE and CBP amid record migrant encounters, while Senate Democrats defend baseline appropriations. Absent fresh negotiations or committee markups in the past 48 hours, odds stay dispersed; bipartisan deal announcements, floor votes, or another short-term patch could drive separation toward earlier resolution, while impasse risks later dates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於4月1日之前 31%
4月9日至12日 27%
4月13日至16日 27%
4月17日至20日 27%
4月1日之前
31%
4月1日至4日
27%
4月5日至8日
27%
4月9日至12日
27%
4月13日至16日
27%
4月17日至20日
27%
4月21日至24日
26%
4月25日至28日
26%
4月29日至30日
26%
4月30日之後
27%
4月1日之前 31%
4月9日至12日 27%
4月13日至16日 27%
4月17日至20日 27%
4月1日之前
31%
4月1日至4日
27%
4月5日至8日
27%
4月9日至12日
27%
4月13日至16日
27%
4月17日至20日
27%
4月21日至24日
26%
4月25日至28日
26%
4月29日至30日
26%
4月30日之後
27%
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices a DHS shutdown end closely clustered in early to late April, with Before April 1 at 30% slightly ahead of 25-27% for weekly bins through April 30, signaling high uncertainty over congressional funding timelines. The March 23 continuing resolution extended DHS operations through September 30 but underscored partisan gridlock, as House Republicans demand spending reductions and bolstered border security funding for ICE and CBP amid record migrant encounters, while Senate Democrats defend baseline appropriations. Absent fresh negotiations or committee markups in the past 48 hours, odds stay dispersed; bipartisan deal announcements, floor votes, or another short-term patch could drive separation toward earlier resolution, while impasse risks later dates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions