Congressional negotiations over Department of Homeland Security (DHS) funding remain stalled amid partisan disputes on spending cuts, border security policy riders, and full-year appropriations bills, keeping trader consensus tightly clustered around early April resolution dates with no outcome exceeding 32%. The slim GOP majorities in the House and Senate, combined with pressure from the House Freedom Caucus demanding deeper reductions and White House priorities under the Trump administration, have prevented a breakthrough since the latest continuing resolution (CR) expired in mid-March. Recent House Appropriations Committee markups advanced partisan versions last week, but filibuster threats and whip count challenges in the Senate signal prolonged haggling. Traders anticipate separation from upcoming floor votes or a short-term CR extension before April 1, though a broader government shutdown looms if no deal materializes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於4月1日之前 31%
4月9日至12日 27%
4月13日至16日 27%
4月17日至20日 27%
4月1日之前
31%
4月1日至4日
25%
4月5日至8日
26%
4月9日至12日
27%
4月13日至16日
27%
4月17日至20日
27%
4月21日至24日
24%
4月25日至28日
24%
4月29日至30日
24%
4月30日之後
25%
4月1日之前 31%
4月9日至12日 27%
4月13日至16日 27%
4月17日至20日 27%
4月1日之前
31%
4月1日至4日
25%
4月5日至8日
26%
4月9日至12日
27%
4月13日至16日
27%
4月17日至20日
27%
4月21日至24日
24%
4月25日至28日
24%
4月29日至30日
24%
4月30日之後
25%
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Congressional negotiations over Department of Homeland Security (DHS) funding remain stalled amid partisan disputes on spending cuts, border security policy riders, and full-year appropriations bills, keeping trader consensus tightly clustered around early April resolution dates with no outcome exceeding 32%. The slim GOP majorities in the House and Senate, combined with pressure from the House Freedom Caucus demanding deeper reductions and White House priorities under the Trump administration, have prevented a breakthrough since the latest continuing resolution (CR) expired in mid-March. Recent House Appropriations Committee markups advanced partisan versions last week, but filibuster threats and whip count challenges in the Senate signal prolonged haggling. Traders anticipate separation from upcoming floor votes or a short-term CR extension before April 1, though a broader government shutdown looms if no deal materializes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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