Trader consensus reflects profound uncertainty over the timeline for ending the DHS funding lapse, with even odds across April buckets signaling no dominant path to resolution amid partisan gridlock on appropriations. Over the past week, House Republicans advanced a continuing resolution tying DHS funding to stricter border security measures, including limits on migrant releases, but Senate Democrats blocked it via procedural hurdles, demanding clean funding without policy riders. This standoff echoes historical shutdown brinkmanship, where whip counts falter on immigration sticking points. Upcoming leadership huddles and potential floor votes could tip odds toward early April if compromise emerges, or extend into late-month delays if debt ceiling talks complicate passage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於4月1日至4日 41%
4月5日至8日 41%
4月9日至12日 41%
4月13日至16日 41%
4月1日之前
21%
4月1日至4日
41%
4月5日至8日
41%
4月9日至12日
41%
4月13日至16日
41%
4月17日至20日
41%
4月21日至24日
41%
4月25日至28日
41%
4月29日至30日
41%
4月30日之後
41%
4月1日至4日 41%
4月5日至8日 41%
4月9日至12日 41%
4月13日至16日 41%
4月1日之前
21%
4月1日至4日
41%
4月5日至8日
41%
4月9日至12日
41%
4月13日至16日
41%
4月17日至20日
41%
4月21日至24日
41%
4月25日至28日
41%
4月29日至30日
41%
4月30日之後
41%
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflects profound uncertainty over the timeline for ending the DHS funding lapse, with even odds across April buckets signaling no dominant path to resolution amid partisan gridlock on appropriations. Over the past week, House Republicans advanced a continuing resolution tying DHS funding to stricter border security measures, including limits on migrant releases, but Senate Democrats blocked it via procedural hurdles, demanding clean funding without policy riders. This standoff echoes historical shutdown brinkmanship, where whip counts falter on immigration sticking points. Upcoming leadership huddles and potential floor votes could tip odds toward early April if compromise emerges, or extend into late-month delays if debt ceiling talks complicate passage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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