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What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit in March?

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金融·從新建中隱藏

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit in March?

Apr 1

Apr 1

$95,365 交易量

Apr 1, 2026
Polymarket

$95,365 交易量

Polymarket

↓ 5700

$771 交易量

3%

↓ 5600

$1,594 交易量

2%

↓ 5500

$31,341 交易量

2%

↓ 5350

$20,968 交易量

22%

↓ 5200

$1,028 交易量

1%

↓ 5000

$1,467 交易量

1%

↓ 4750

$38,196 交易量

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX). Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX). Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.The S&P 500 index has plunged 7.41% month-to-date through the March 27 close at 6,368.85, driven primarily by surging oil prices—Brent crude hit $108 per barrel amid escalating Iran conflict tensions—fueling renewed inflation concerns and stagflation risks. This sharp weekly skid, with the index falling below its 200-day moving average, follows the Federal Reserve's March 18 FOMC meeting, where policymakers held the fed funds target at 3.50%-3.75% amid projections of persistent inflation and resilient growth. Bond yields rose as traders price in delayed rate cuts, amplifying equity pressure despite energy sector gains. With the final March 31 trading session approaching resolution, focus shifts to potential volatility from quarter-end rebalancing and impending April PCE inflation data.

The S&P 500 index has plunged 7.41% month-to-date through the March 27 close at 6,368.85, driven primarily by surging oil prices—Brent crude hit $108 per barrel amid escalating Iran conflict tensions—fueling renewed inflation concerns and stagflation risks. This sharp weekly skid, with the index falling below its 200-day moving average, follows the Federal Reserve's March 18 FOMC meeting, where policymakers held the fed funds target at 3.50%-3.75% amid projections of persistent inflation and resilient growth. Bond yields rose as traders price in delayed rate cuts, amplifying equity pressure despite energy sector gains. With the final March 31 trading session approaching resolution, focus shifts to potential volatility from quarter-end rebalancing and impending April PCE inflation data.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX). Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX). Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.The S&P 500 index has plunged 7.41% month-to-date through the March 27 close at 6,368.85, driven primarily by surging oil prices—Brent crude hit $108 per barrel amid escalating Iran conflict tensions—fueling renewed inflation concerns and stagflation risks. This sharp weekly skid, with the index falling below its 200-day moving average, follows the Federal Reserve's March 18 FOMC meeting, where policymakers held the fed funds target at 3.50%-3.75% amid projections of persistent inflation and resilient growth. Bond yields rose as traders price in delayed rate cuts, amplifying equity pressure despite energy sector gains. With the final March 31 trading session approaching resolution, focus shifts to potential volatility from quarter-end rebalancing and impending April PCE inflation data.

The S&P 500 index has plunged 7.41% month-to-date through the March 27 close at 6,368.85, driven primarily by surging oil prices—Brent crude hit $108 per barrel amid escalating Iran conflict tensions—fueling renewed inflation concerns and stagflation risks. This sharp weekly skid, with the index falling below its 200-day moving average, follows the Federal Reserve's March 18 FOMC meeting, where policymakers held the fed funds target at 3.50%-3.75% amid projections of persistent inflation and resilient growth. Bond yields rose as traders price in delayed rate cuts, amplifying equity pressure despite energy sector gains. With the final March 31 trading session approaching resolution, focus shifts to potential volatility from quarter-end rebalancing and impending April PCE inflation data.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit in March?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↑ 6800" at 100%, followed by "↑ 6550" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit in March?" has generated $95.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit in March?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit in March?" is "↑ 6800" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↑ 6550" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit in March?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.