Iranian missile and drone strikes on Saudi Arabia's Prince Sultan Air Base on March 28, injuring at least 15 US troops and damaging aircraft, alongside Yemen's Houthis firing a ballistic missile at Israel—their first in the ongoing regional conflict—have sharply escalated tensions. Riyadh condemned the attacks, intercepted threats, and warned of retaliation for any direct Houthi strikes on Saudi territory, per intelligence reports of potential drone or missile assaults. No Saudi airstrikes or ground operations have targeted Houthi-controlled northern Yemen, preserving the truce amid bolstered Saudi-backed Yemeni government forces following January's counteroffensive retaking southern areas from UAE-linked separatists. Diplomatic efforts, including Pakistan-hosted talks, aim to contain risks ahead of potential further escalation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$36,198 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
3月31日
8%
4月30日
33%
$36,198 交易量
3月31日
$27,423 交易量
8%
4月30日
$8,775 交易量
33%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi Arabia initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Saudi Arabia's military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Saudi Arabian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Saudi Arabian ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Iranian missile and drone strikes on Saudi Arabia's Prince Sultan Air Base on March 28, injuring at least 15 US troops and damaging aircraft, alongside Yemen's Houthis firing a ballistic missile at Israel—their first in the ongoing regional conflict—have sharply escalated tensions. Riyadh condemned the attacks, intercepted threats, and warned of retaliation for any direct Houthi strikes on Saudi territory, per intelligence reports of potential drone or missile assaults. No Saudi airstrikes or ground operations have targeted Houthi-controlled northern Yemen, preserving the truce amid bolstered Saudi-backed Yemeni government forces following January's counteroffensive retaking southern areas from UAE-linked separatists. Diplomatic efforts, including Pakistan-hosted talks, aim to contain risks ahead of potential further escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi Arabia initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Saudi Arabia's military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Saudi Arabian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Saudi Arabian ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Saudi Arabia's military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Saudi Arabian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Saudi Arabian ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
市場開放時間： Mar 24, 2026, 1:02 PM ET
交易量
$36,198結束日期
Mar 31, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 1:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi Arabia initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Saudi Arabia's military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Saudi Arabian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Saudi Arabian ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Iranian missile and drone strikes on Saudi Arabia's Prince Sultan Air Base on March 28, injuring at least 15 US troops and damaging aircraft, alongside Yemen's Houthis firing a ballistic missile at Israel—their first in the ongoing regional conflict—have sharply escalated tensions. Riyadh condemned the attacks, intercepted threats, and warned of retaliation for any direct Houthi strikes on Saudi territory, per intelligence reports of potential drone or missile assaults. No Saudi airstrikes or ground operations have targeted Houthi-controlled northern Yemen, preserving the truce amid bolstered Saudi-backed Yemeni government forces following January's counteroffensive retaking southern areas from UAE-linked separatists. Diplomatic efforts, including Pakistan-hosted talks, aim to contain risks ahead of potential further escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi Arabia initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Saudi Arabia's military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Saudi Arabian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Saudi Arabian ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Saudi Arabia's military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Saudi Arabian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Saudi Arabian ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
交易量
$36,198結束日期
Mar 31, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 1:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian missile and drone strikes on Saudi Arabia's Prince Sultan Air Base on March 28, injuring at least 15 US troops and damaging aircraft, alongside Yemen's Houthis firing a ballistic missile at Israel—their first in the ongoing regional conflict—have sharply escalated tensions. Riyadh condemned the attacks, intercepted threats, and warned of retaliation for any direct Houthi strikes on Saudi territory, per intelligence reports of potential drone or missile assaults. No Saudi airstrikes or ground operations have targeted Houthi-controlled northern Yemen, preserving the truce amid bolstered Saudi-backed Yemeni government forces following January's counteroffensive retaking southern areas from UAE-linked separatists. Diplomatic efforts, including Pakistan-hosted talks, aim to contain risks ahead of potential further escalation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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