第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？

第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？

Mar 31

Mar 31

3,000–3,500 萬 65%

3,500–4,000 萬 25%

2500–3000萬 8%

4000–4500 萬 1.7%

$490,954 交易量

$490,954 交易量

Mar 31, 2026

少於 2000 萬

$83,111 交易量

<1%

2000–2500萬

$49,817 交易量

1%

2500–3000萬

$59,146 交易量

8%

3,000–3,500 萬

$39,772 交易量

65%

3,500–4,000 萬

$61,195 交易量

25%

4000–4500 萬

$107,273 交易量

2%

4500–5000萬

$49,546 交易量

<1%

5,000 萬+

$56,785 交易量

<1%

3,000–3,500 萬 65%

3,500–4,000 萬 25%

2500–3000萬 8%

4000–4500 萬 1.7%

$490,954 交易量

$490,954 交易量

Mar 31, 2026

少於 2000 萬

$83,111 交易量

<1%

2000–2500萬

$49,817 交易量

1%

2500–3000萬

$59,146 交易量

8%

3,000–3,500 萬

$39,772 交易量

65%

3,500–4,000 萬

$61,195 交易量

25%

4000–4500 萬

$107,273 交易量

2%

4500–5000萬

$49,546 交易量

<1%

5,000 萬+

$56,785 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 30–35 million day-1 views (62.5% implied probability) for MrBeast's next YouTube video, anchored by his recent track record of massive launches amid 318 million subscribers. The past five videos averaged 33 million views in the first 24 hours, including "Ages 1 – 100 Fight A Lion" at 37 million and the latest "$1 vs $250,000 Vacation" hitting 34 million, underscoring algorithmic favoritism for his high-stakes challenges. Upward pressure from teaser hype on X and Instagram has boosted 35–40M odds to 22.5%, though some traders cite potential YouTube saturation and competing viral trends tempering 40M+ chances below 3%. Key watch: release timing and thumbnail clickbait strength.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 21, 2026, 8:33 PM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "3,000–3,500 萬" at 65%, followed by "3,500–4,000 萬" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？" has generated $491K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？" is "3,000–3,500 萬" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "3,500–4,000 萬" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $491K traded on “第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 65¢ for "3,000–3,500 萬" in the "第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 65% chance that "3,000–3,500 萬" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 65¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 35¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Mar 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？" market has an active community of 5,069 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.