Trader consensus on Polymarket prices TISZA securing 120-130 seats as most likely in the April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting a tight contest driven by divergent late-March opinion polls: opposition-aligned surveys show TISZA widening its vote lead to double digits over Fidesz amid Péter Magyar's momentum, while pro-government polls like Republikon (March 23-26) give Fidesz a 49-40 edge among decided voters. Hungary's mixed electoral system—106 single-member districts favoring Fidesz's rural organization and incumbency, plus 93 proportional seats—amplifies uncertainty despite aggregates projecting TISZA near the 100-seat majority threshold. Final turnout surges, campaign debates, or scandals could tip toward supermajority or Fidesz retention.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於130+ 27%
120-129 24%
110–119 19%
100–109 11%
$431,031 交易量
$431,031 交易量
Apr 12, 2026
<70
9%
70–79
1%
80–89
8%
90–99
9%
100–109
11%
110–119
19%
120-129
24%
130+
27%
130+ 27%
120-129 24%
110–119 19%
100–109 11%
$431,031 交易量
$431,031 交易量
Apr 12, 2026
<70
$326,729 交易量
9%
70–79
$3,540 交易量
1%
80–89
$39,299 交易量
8%
90–99
$11,379 交易量
9%
100–109
$17,470 交易量
11%
110–119
$6,273 交易量
19%
120-129
$5,624 交易量
24%
130+
$20,716 交易量
27%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices TISZA securing 120-130 seats as most likely in the April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting a tight contest driven by divergent late-March opinion polls: opposition-aligned surveys show TISZA widening its vote lead to double digits over Fidesz amid Péter Magyar's momentum, while pro-government polls like Republikon (March 23-26) give Fidesz a 49-40 edge among decided voters. Hungary's mixed electoral system—106 single-member districts favoring Fidesz's rural organization and incumbency, plus 93 proportional seats—amplifies uncertainty despite aggregates projecting TISZA near the 100-seat majority threshold. Final turnout surges, campaign debates, or scandals could tip toward supermajority or Fidesz retention.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
市場開放時間： Mar 13, 2026, 1:26 PM ET
交易量
$431,031結束日期
Apr 12, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 13, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices TISZA securing 120-130 seats as most likely in the April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting a tight contest driven by divergent late-March opinion polls: opposition-aligned surveys show TISZA widening its vote lead to double digits over Fidesz amid Péter Magyar's momentum, while pro-government polls like Republikon (March 23-26) give Fidesz a 49-40 edge among decided voters. Hungary's mixed electoral system—106 single-member districts favoring Fidesz's rural organization and incumbency, plus 93 proportional seats—amplifies uncertainty despite aggregates projecting TISZA near the 100-seat majority threshold. Final turnout surges, campaign debates, or scandals could tip toward supermajority or Fidesz retention.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
交易量
$431,031結束日期
Apr 12, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 13, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices TISZA securing 120-130 seats as most likely in the April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting a tight contest driven by divergent late-March opinion polls: opposition-aligned surveys show TISZA widening its vote lead to double digits over Fidesz amid Péter Magyar's momentum, while pro-government polls like Republikon (March 23-26) give Fidesz a 49-40 edge among decided voters. Hungary's mixed electoral system—106 single-member districts favoring Fidesz's rural organization and incumbency, plus 93 proportional seats—amplifies uncertainty despite aggregates projecting TISZA near the 100-seat majority threshold. Final turnout surges, campaign debates, or scandals could tip toward supermajority or Fidesz retention.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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