Yulia Navalnaya leads Polymarket's Nobel Peace Prize 2026 odds at 10.5% implied probability, buoyed by her persistent leadership in the Russian opposition following Alexei Navalny's death and recent international advocacy against authoritarianism, differentiating her through human rights symbolism. Volodymyr Zelenskyy (7.6%) holds steady on Ukraine's wartime resilience and Western backing, while Donald Trump (7.5%) has gained post-election on trader bets for Middle East or Ukraine dealmaking momentum. This tight frontrunner cluster reflects deep uncertainty two years from the October 2026 ceremony, with no dominant narrative; key swings hinge on 2025 geopolitical breakthroughs like ceasefires or dissident breakthroughs, as the Norwegian Nobel Committee's secretive voting favors surprise picks amid global conflicts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於尤莉婭·納瓦利娜雅 11%
弗拉基米爾·澤連斯基 7.6%
唐納·川普 8%
教宗利奧十四 4.8%
$11,475,063 交易量
$11,475,063 交易量
Oct 10, 2026
尤莉婭·納瓦利娜雅
11%
弗拉基米爾·澤連斯基
8%
唐納·川普
8%
教宗利奧十四
5%
國際法院
4%
聯合國近東巴勒斯坦難民救濟和工程處
3%
格蕾塔·童貝里
3%
塔米姆·本·哈馬德·阿勒薩尼
3%
納倫德拉·莫迪
2%
查理·柯克
2%
習近平
2%
馬斯克
2%
哈立德·馬沙爾
1%
朱利安·阿桑奇
1%
穆罕默德·本·薩勒曼
1%
艾哈邁德·阿爾-沙拉
1%
雷杰普·塔伊普·艾爾多安
1%
弗拉基米爾·普京
1%
安東尼奧·古特雷斯
1%
本雅明·內塔尼亞胡
1%
尤莉婭·納瓦利娜雅 11%
弗拉基米爾·澤連斯基 7.6%
唐納·川普 8%
教宗利奧十四 4.8%
$11,475,063 交易量
$11,475,063 交易量
Oct 10, 2026
尤莉婭·納瓦利娜雅
$78,023 交易量
11%
弗拉基米爾·澤連斯基
$400,548 交易量
8%
唐納·川普
$2,301,842 交易量
8%
教宗利奧十四
$465,235 交易量
5%
國際法院
$457,468 交易量
4%
聯合國近東巴勒斯坦難民救濟和工程處
$1,606,411 交易量
3%
格蕾塔·童貝里
$911,511 交易量
3%
塔米姆·本·哈馬德·阿勒薩尼
$312,864 交易量
3%
納倫德拉·莫迪
$292,181 交易量
2%
查理·柯克
$466,604 交易量
2%
習近平
$748,470 交易量
2%
馬斯克
$506,895 交易量
2%
哈立德·馬沙爾
$204,908 交易量
1%
朱利安·阿桑奇
$325,369 交易量
1%
穆罕默德·本·薩勒曼
$537,060 交易量
1%
艾哈邁德·阿爾-沙拉
$537,800 交易量
1%
雷杰普·塔伊普·艾爾多安
$379,477 交易量
1%
弗拉基米爾·普京
$492,185 交易量
1%
安東尼奧·古特雷斯
$141,553 交易量
1%
本雅明·內塔尼亞胡
$308,819 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Yulia Navalnaya leads Polymarket's Nobel Peace Prize 2026 odds at 10.5% implied probability, buoyed by her persistent leadership in the Russian opposition following Alexei Navalny's death and recent international advocacy against authoritarianism, differentiating her through human rights symbolism. Volodymyr Zelenskyy (7.6%) holds steady on Ukraine's wartime resilience and Western backing, while Donald Trump (7.5%) has gained post-election on trader bets for Middle East or Ukraine dealmaking momentum. This tight frontrunner cluster reflects deep uncertainty two years from the October 2026 ceremony, with no dominant narrative; key swings hinge on 2025 geopolitical breakthroughs like ceasefires or dissident breakthroughs, as the Norwegian Nobel Committee's secretive voting favors surprise picks amid global conflicts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
市場開放時間： Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET
交易量
$11,475,063結束日期
Oct 10, 2026市場開放時間
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Yulia Navalnaya leads Polymarket's Nobel Peace Prize 2026 odds at 10.5% implied probability, buoyed by her persistent leadership in the Russian opposition following Alexei Navalny's death and recent international advocacy against authoritarianism, differentiating her through human rights symbolism. Volodymyr Zelenskyy (7.6%) holds steady on Ukraine's wartime resilience and Western backing, while Donald Trump (7.5%) has gained post-election on trader bets for Middle East or Ukraine dealmaking momentum. This tight frontrunner cluster reflects deep uncertainty two years from the October 2026 ceremony, with no dominant narrative; key swings hinge on 2025 geopolitical breakthroughs like ceasefires or dissident breakthroughs, as the Norwegian Nobel Committee's secretive voting favors surprise picks amid global conflicts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
交易量
$11,475,063結束日期
Oct 10, 2026市場開放時間
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Yulia Navalnaya leads Polymarket's Nobel Peace Prize 2026 odds at 10.5% implied probability, buoyed by her persistent leadership in the Russian opposition following Alexei Navalny's death and recent international advocacy against authoritarianism, differentiating her through human rights symbolism. Volodymyr Zelenskyy (7.6%) holds steady on Ukraine's wartime resilience and Western backing, while Donald Trump (7.5%) has gained post-election on trader bets for Middle East or Ukraine dealmaking momentum. This tight frontrunner cluster reflects deep uncertainty two years from the October 2026 ceremony, with no dominant narrative; key swings hinge on 2025 geopolitical breakthroughs like ceasefires or dissident breakthroughs, as the Norwegian Nobel Committee's secretive voting favors surprise picks amid global conflicts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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