Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a [X]% probability of Meta (META) shares closing above [threshold] by March 31, driven primarily by the stock's post-earnings surge following Q4 results that beat revenue expectations with 25% ad growth and upbeat AI roadmap guidance. Recent announcements, including expanded Llama 3 model training and Threads surpassing 150 million users, bolster sentiment amid intensifying AI competition from OpenAI and Google. However, regulatory scrutiny on data privacy and antitrust probes, plus ongoing Reality Labs losses, cap upside. Key watch: March 28 FOMC rate decision and daily close volatility; historical March patterns show META averaging 2-3% swings near quarter-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$26,273 交易量
540美元
95%
560美元
86%
$580
68%
$600
62%
$620
38%
$640
16%
660美元
5%
680美元
6%
700美元
5%
720美元
2%
$740
4%
760美元
2%
780美元
1%
$26,273 交易量
540美元
95%
560美元
86%
$580
68%
$600
62%
$620
38%
$640
16%
660美元
5%
680美元
6%
700美元
5%
720美元
2%
$740
4%
760美元
2%
780美元
1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
市場開放時間: Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a [X]% probability of Meta (META) shares closing above [threshold] by March 31, driven primarily by the stock's post-earnings surge following Q4 results that beat revenue expectations with 25% ad growth and upbeat AI roadmap guidance. Recent announcements, including expanded Llama 3 model training and Threads surpassing 150 million users, bolster sentiment amid intensifying AI competition from OpenAI and Google. However, regulatory scrutiny on data privacy and antitrust probes, plus ongoing Reality Labs losses, cap upside. Key watch: March 28 FOMC rate decision and daily close volatility; historical March patterns show META averaging 2-3% swings near quarter-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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