Meta's robust Q4 earnings beat on February 1, featuring 25% revenue growth, a landmark $0.50/share dividend initiation, and $50 billion buyback expansion, propelled shares above the key threshold, fueling 65% implied 'Yes' probability on Polymarket for closing above it by March 29. Sustained momentum stems from Llama 3 AI model advancements and Threads surpassing 175 million users, intensifying competition with X and TikTok amid U.S. regulatory scrutiny. However, trader caution lingers over escalating AI data center capex to $35-40 billion annually and broader market rotation from megacaps; no major catalysts loom before quarter-end, leaving resolution hinging on macroeconomic stability and tech sector flows.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$10,722 交易量
540美元
93%
560美元
88%
$580
48%
$600
53%
$620
30%
$640
18%
660美元
5%
680美元
8%
700美元
50%
720美元
2%
$740
9%
760美元
2%
780美元
1%
$10,722 交易量
540美元
93%
560美元
88%
$580
48%
$600
53%
$620
30%
$640
18%
660美元
5%
680美元
8%
700美元
50%
720美元
2%
$740
9%
760美元
2%
780美元
1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
市場開放時間: Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Meta's robust Q4 earnings beat on February 1, featuring 25% revenue growth, a landmark $0.50/share dividend initiation, and $50 billion buyback expansion, propelled shares above the key threshold, fueling 65% implied 'Yes' probability on Polymarket for closing above it by March 29. Sustained momentum stems from Llama 3 AI model advancements and Threads surpassing 175 million users, intensifying competition with X and TikTok amid U.S. regulatory scrutiny. However, trader caution lingers over escalating AI data center capex to $35-40 billion annually and broader market rotation from megacaps; no major catalysts loom before quarter-end, leaving resolution hinging on macroeconomic stability and tech sector flows.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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