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政治·路易斯安那州初級會

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
政治·路易斯安那州初級會

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

Blake Miguez 82%

Rick Edmonds 7.7%

Misti Cordell 4.3%

Austin Magee 4.2%

Polymarket

$28,217 交易量

Blake Miguez 82%

Rick Edmonds 7.7%

Misti Cordell 4.3%

Austin Magee 4.2%

Polymarket

$28,217 交易量

Blake Miguez

$14,995 交易量

82%

Rick Edmonds

$17 交易量

8%

Misti Cordell

$17 交易量

4%

Austin Magee

$17 交易量

4%

Michael Mebruer

$17 交易量

4%

Samuel Wyatt

$5,025 交易量

4%

Michael Echols

$8,127 交易量

4%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Sen. Blake Miguez leads trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability in the LA-05 Republican primary due to his swift Trump endorsement on February 4—shortly after entering the open-seat race—and dominant fundraising with over $4.7 million raised and $3.6 million cash on hand, dwarfing rivals like Rick Edmonds and Misti Cordell. This crowded field of seven candidates dilutes opposition in the R+18 district ahead of the closed May 16 primary and potential June 27 runoff. A March 20 Caldwell Parish forum saw challengers emphasize border security, traditional values, infrastructure, and redistricting concerns, but no polls or shifts have eroded Miguez's edge despite lingering residency questions over his New Iberia home outside the district.

State Sen. Blake Miguez leads trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability in the LA-05 Republican primary due to his swift Trump endorsement on February 4—shortly after entering the open-seat race—and dominant fundraising with over $4.7 million raised and $3.6 million cash on hand, dwarfing rivals like Rick Edmonds and Misti Cordell. This crowded field of seven candidates dilutes opposition in the R+18 district ahead of the closed May 16 primary and potential June 27 runoff. A March 20 Caldwell Parish forum saw challengers emphasize border security, traditional values, infrastructure, and redistricting concerns, but no polls or shifts have eroded Miguez's edge despite lingering residency questions over his New Iberia home outside the district.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Sen. Blake Miguez leads trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability in the LA-05 Republican primary due to his swift Trump endorsement on February 4—shortly after entering the open-seat race—and dominant fundraising with over $4.7 million raised and $3.6 million cash on hand, dwarfing rivals like Rick Edmonds and Misti Cordell. This crowded field of seven candidates dilutes opposition in the R+18 district ahead of the closed May 16 primary and potential June 27 runoff. A March 20 Caldwell Parish forum saw challengers emphasize border security, traditional values, infrastructure, and redistricting concerns, but no polls or shifts have eroded Miguez's edge despite lingering residency questions over his New Iberia home outside the district.

State Sen. Blake Miguez leads trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability in the LA-05 Republican primary due to his swift Trump endorsement on February 4—shortly after entering the open-seat race—and dominant fundraising with over $4.7 million raised and $3.6 million cash on hand, dwarfing rivals like Rick Edmonds and Misti Cordell. This crowded field of seven candidates dilutes opposition in the R+18 district ahead of the closed May 16 primary and potential June 27 runoff. A March 20 Caldwell Parish forum saw challengers emphasize border security, traditional values, infrastructure, and redistricting concerns, but no polls or shifts have eroded Miguez's edge despite lingering residency questions over his New Iberia home outside the district.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"LA-05 Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Blake Miguez" at 82%, followed by "Rick Edmonds" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 82¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "LA-05 Republican Primary Winner" has generated $28.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "LA-05 Republican Primary Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "LA-05 Republican Primary Winner" is "Blake Miguez" at 82%, meaning the market assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rick Edmonds" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "LA-05 Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.