Recent independent polls, including 21 Kutatóközpont's late-March survey showing TISZA at 56% and Fidesz-KDNP at 37% among decided voters, have widened TISZA's lead to 19 points, fueling trader consensus that Fidesz-KDNP will finish second with 69% implied probability ahead of the April 12 parliamentary election. Aggregates like Politico's Poll of Polls (TISZA 49%, Fidesz 39%) and PolitPro (TISZA 48.7%, Fidesz 40.8%) reflect this momentum, particularly among youth voters, despite government-aligned polls indicating narrower Fidesz edges and 20-26% undecideds. TISZA's 30.5% odds for second underscore risks of a Fidesz rebound via its rural base and organizational strength in Hungary's mixed electoral system, with minor parties polling below 6%. High tensions, protests, and foreign endorsements precede the vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Hungary Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Hungary Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Fidesz-KDNP 69%
TISZA 31%
Mi Hazánk <1%
LMP <1%
$86,680 交易量
$86,680 交易量
2026-04-12
Fidesz-KDNP
69%
TISZA
31%
Mi Hazánk
<1%
LMP
<1%
MSZP
<1%
DK
<1%
Momentum
<1%
Párbeszéd
<1%
Jobbik
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP 69%
TISZA 31%
Mi Hazánk <1%
LMP <1%
$86,680 交易量
$86,680 交易量
2026-04-12
Fidesz-KDNP
$16,715 交易量
69%
TISZA
$15,910 交易量
31%
Mi Hazánk
$27,407 交易量
<1%
LMP
$2,596 交易量
<1%
MSZP
$13,837 交易量
<1%
DK
$2,962 交易量
<1%
Momentum
$2,271 交易量
<1%
Párbeszéd
$2,536 交易量
<1%
Jobbik
$2,447 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Recent independent polls, including 21 Kutatóközpont's late-March survey showing TISZA at 56% and Fidesz-KDNP at 37% among decided voters, have widened TISZA's lead to 19 points, fueling trader consensus that Fidesz-KDNP will finish second with 69% implied probability ahead of the April 12 parliamentary election. Aggregates like Politico's Poll of Polls (TISZA 49%, Fidesz 39%) and PolitPro (TISZA 48.7%, Fidesz 40.8%) reflect this momentum, particularly among youth voters, despite government-aligned polls indicating narrower Fidesz edges and 20-26% undecideds. TISZA's 30.5% odds for second underscore risks of a Fidesz rebound via its rural base and organizational strength in Hungary's mixed electoral system, with minor parties polling below 6%. High tensions, protests, and foreign endorsements precede the vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
市場開放時間： Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
交易量
$86,680結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Recent independent polls, including 21 Kutatóközpont's late-March survey showing TISZA at 56% and Fidesz-KDNP at 37% among decided voters, have widened TISZA's lead to 19 points, fueling trader consensus that Fidesz-KDNP will finish second with 69% implied probability ahead of the April 12 parliamentary election. Aggregates like Politico's Poll of Polls (TISZA 49%, Fidesz 39%) and PolitPro (TISZA 48.7%, Fidesz 40.8%) reflect this momentum, particularly among youth voters, despite government-aligned polls indicating narrower Fidesz edges and 20-26% undecideds. TISZA's 30.5% odds for second underscore risks of a Fidesz rebound via its rural base and organizational strength in Hungary's mixed electoral system, with minor parties polling below 6%. High tensions, protests, and foreign endorsements precede the vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
交易量
$86,680結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent independent polls, including 21 Kutatóközpont's late-March survey showing TISZA at 56% and Fidesz-KDNP at 37% among decided voters, have widened TISZA's lead to 19 points, fueling trader consensus that Fidesz-KDNP will finish second with 69% implied probability ahead of the April 12 parliamentary election. Aggregates like Politico's Poll of Polls (TISZA 49%, Fidesz 39%) and PolitPro (TISZA 48.7%, Fidesz 40.8%) reflect this momentum, particularly among youth voters, despite government-aligned polls indicating narrower Fidesz edges and 20-26% undecideds. TISZA's 30.5% odds for second underscore risks of a Fidesz rebound via its rural base and organizational strength in Hungary's mixed electoral system, with minor parties polling below 6%. High tensions, protests, and foreign endorsements precede the vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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