Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 will determine control of the 199-seat National Assembly under a mixed system of 106 single-member districts and 93 proportional list seats, where a simple majority of 100 seats secures government formation. Recent polls reflect a tightening race, with opposition Tisza party—led by challenger Péter Magyar—widening its lead over incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP alliance; a March 17-20 Medián survey showed Tisza at 58% versus Fidesz-KDNP's 35% among decided voters, though pro-government Nézőpont and XXI. Század polls indicate a narrower 46-40% Fidesz edge. Fidesz-KDNP bolstered momentum by winning a March 9 by-election in Kazincbarcika amid intensifying campaign rhetoric. Traders assess Tisza's polling surge against Fidesz's incumbency advantages, media dominance, and district-level strengths, with final undecided voter shifts and turnout pivotal in the final two weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$161,707 交易量
Apr 12, 2026
80+
49%
90+
41%
100+
26%
110+
18%
$161,707 交易量
80+
$98,452 交易量
49%
90+
$43,372 交易量
41%
100+
$8,342 交易量
26%
110+
$11,541 交易量
18%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 will determine control of the 199-seat National Assembly under a mixed system of 106 single-member districts and 93 proportional list seats, where a simple majority of 100 seats secures government formation. Recent polls reflect a tightening race, with opposition Tisza party—led by challenger Péter Magyar—widening its lead over incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP alliance; a March 17-20 Medián survey showed Tisza at 58% versus Fidesz-KDNP's 35% among decided voters, though pro-government Nézőpont and XXI. Század polls indicate a narrower 46-40% Fidesz edge. Fidesz-KDNP bolstered momentum by winning a March 9 by-election in Kazincbarcika amid intensifying campaign rhetoric. Traders assess Tisza's polling surge against Fidesz's incumbency advantages, media dominance, and district-level strengths, with final undecided voter shifts and turnout pivotal in the final two weeks.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
市場開放時間： Mar 16, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
交易量
$161,707結束日期
Apr 12, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 16, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 will determine control of the 199-seat National Assembly under a mixed system of 106 single-member districts and 93 proportional list seats, where a simple majority of 100 seats secures government formation. Recent polls reflect a tightening race, with opposition Tisza party—led by challenger Péter Magyar—widening its lead over incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP alliance; a March 17-20 Medián survey showed Tisza at 58% versus Fidesz-KDNP's 35% among decided voters, though pro-government Nézőpont and XXI. Század polls indicate a narrower 46-40% Fidesz edge. Fidesz-KDNP bolstered momentum by winning a March 9 by-election in Kazincbarcika amid intensifying campaign rhetoric. Traders assess Tisza's polling surge against Fidesz's incumbency advantages, media dominance, and district-level strengths, with final undecided voter shifts and turnout pivotal in the final two weeks.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
交易量
$161,707結束日期
Apr 12, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 16, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 will determine control of the 199-seat National Assembly under a mixed system of 106 single-member districts and 93 proportional list seats, where a simple majority of 100 seats secures government formation. Recent polls reflect a tightening race, with opposition Tisza party—led by challenger Péter Magyar—widening its lead over incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP alliance; a March 17-20 Medián survey showed Tisza at 58% versus Fidesz-KDNP's 35% among decided voters, though pro-government Nézőpont and XXI. Század polls indicate a narrower 46-40% Fidesz edge. Fidesz-KDNP bolstered momentum by winning a March 9 by-election in Kazincbarcika amid intensifying campaign rhetoric. Traders assess Tisza's polling surge against Fidesz's incumbency advantages, media dominance, and district-level strengths, with final undecided voter shifts and turnout pivotal in the final two weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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