The Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature reaching 33°C today under mostly clear skies and stable atmospheric conditions, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in market-implied odds. Current observations show morning temperatures around 24°C at official stations, with daytime heating expected amid low humidity and minimal cloud cover, aligning with recent model runs and historical April patterns where highs often peak near this level. This positioning reflects high-confidence short-range guidance from CWA, backed by real-time satellite and radar data. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective activity or urban heat variations pushing readings higher, or prolonged cloudiness capping below 33°C—though probability remains low given the benign synoptic setup—with final resolution hinging on end-of-day station measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Taipei on April 13?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 13?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$183,779 交易量
$183,779 交易量
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$183,779 交易量
$183,779 交易量
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 9, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature reaching 33°C today under mostly clear skies and stable atmospheric conditions, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in market-implied odds. Current observations show morning temperatures around 24°C at official stations, with daytime heating expected amid low humidity and minimal cloud cover, aligning with recent model runs and historical April patterns where highs often peak near this level. This positioning reflects high-confidence short-range guidance from CWA, backed by real-time satellite and radar data. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective activity or urban heat variations pushing readings higher, or prolonged cloudiness capping below 33°C—though probability remains low given the benign synoptic setup—with final resolution hinging on end-of-day station measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions