Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 33°C in Singapore on April 16, 2026 (100% implied probability), aligned with the National Environment Agency's (NEA) official 24-hour forecast projecting a daily maximum of 33°C amid light southerly winds (5-15 km/h) and thundery showers targeting northern and western areas in the early afternoon. These inter-monsoon conditions, featuring frequent convective activity from daytime solar heating, have capped peaks after a hotter first half of April where maxima exceeded 34°C on 12 of 15 days (highest 35.4°C on April 5). Cloud cover and precipitation reduce surface insolation, limiting radiative warming in this equatorial climate. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing, allowing sustained high solar input to spike temperatures to 34°C or higher before evening showers—unlikely per current NEA model consensus and observed patterns, with updated observations expected through dusk.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於新加坡4月16日的最高溫度?
新加坡4月16日的最高溫度?
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$119,287 交易量
$119,287 交易量
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$119,287 交易量
$119,287 交易量
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 14, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 33°C in Singapore on April 16, 2026 (100% implied probability), aligned with the National Environment Agency's (NEA) official 24-hour forecast projecting a daily maximum of 33°C amid light southerly winds (5-15 km/h) and thundery showers targeting northern and western areas in the early afternoon. These inter-monsoon conditions, featuring frequent convective activity from daytime solar heating, have capped peaks after a hotter first half of April where maxima exceeded 34°C on 12 of 15 days (highest 35.4°C on April 5). Cloud cover and precipitation reduce surface insolation, limiting radiative warming in this equatorial climate. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing, allowing sustained high solar input to spike temperatures to 34°C or higher before evening showers—unlikely per current NEA model consensus and observed patterns, with updated observations expected through dusk.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions