Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observational data from Seoul's official station (No. 108) confirm the highest temperature on March 28, 2026, reached exactly 12°C, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cloudy conditions, light rainfall, and persistent northeasterly winds from a cool air mass suppressed warming, as captured in hourly surface measurements peaking midday before stabilizing lower amid 60-65% humidity. Global forecast ensembles like ECMWF had converged on 12-15°C in recent 24-48 hours, but actuals matched the lower bound due to increased cloud cover over initial projections. Scenarios challenging this—such as a post-audit data revision from equipment calibration issues—are exceedingly rare, given KMA's rigorous verification protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
12°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$589,087 交易量
$589,087 交易量
12°C
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$589,087 交易量
$589,087 交易量
12°C
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observational data from Seoul's official station (No. 108) confirm the highest temperature on March 28, 2026, reached exactly 12°C, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cloudy conditions, light rainfall, and persistent northeasterly winds from a cool air mass suppressed warming, as captured in hourly surface measurements peaking midday before stabilizing lower amid 60-65% humidity. Global forecast ensembles like ECMWF had converged on 12-15°C in recent 24-48 hours, but actuals matched the lower bound due to increased cloud cover over initial projections. Scenarios challenging this—such as a post-audit data revision from equipment calibration issues—are exceedingly rare, given KMA's rigorous verification protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions