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Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 27?

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Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 27?

76-77°F 100.0%

63°F or below <1%

64-65°F <1%

66-67°F <1%

Polymarket

$172,254 交易量

76-77°F 100.0%

63°F or below <1%

64-65°F <1%

66-67°F <1%

Polymarket

$172,254 交易量

63°F or below

$9,508 交易量

No

64-65°F

$15,698 交易量

No

66-67°F

$5,497 交易量

No

68-69°F

$8,437 交易量

No

70-71°F

$4,259 交易量

No

72-73°F

$6,408 交易量

No

74-75°F

$4,995 交易量

No

76-77°F

$52,195 交易量

Yes

78-79°F

$20,336 交易量

No

80-81°F

$23,301 交易量

No

82°F or higher

$21,619 交易量

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) recorded a maximum temperature of 77°F on March 27, 2026, at 2:56 p.m. and 3:56 p.m. local time, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 76-77°F outcome as the market nears resolution. This matched pre-event NOAA and ECMWF forecast model runs projecting mid-to-upper 70s under a high-pressure ridge moderated by persistent marine layer clouds, which produced mostly overcast skies and light winds, capping daytime heating after an early-month heat wave that peaked near 90°F downtown on March 20. Above the March climatological average high of 62°F, the reading reflects typical coastal boundary layer dynamics; realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from quality control audits, unlikely given ASOS reliability.

Official National Weather Service observations from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) recorded a maximum temperature of 77°F on March 27, 2026, at 2:56 p.m. and 3:56 p.m. local time, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 76-77°F outcome as the market nears resolution. This matched pre-event NOAA and ECMWF forecast model runs projecting mid-to-upper 70s under a high-pressure ridge moderated by persistent marine layer clouds, which produced mostly overcast skies and light winds, capping daytime heating after an early-month heat wave that peaked near 90°F downtown on March 20. Above the March climatological average high of 62°F, the reading reflects typical coastal boundary layer dynamics; realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from quality control audits, unlikely given ASOS reliability.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) recorded a maximum temperature of 77°F on March 27, 2026, at 2:56 p.m. and 3:56 p.m. local time, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 76-77°F outcome as the market nears resolution. This matched pre-event NOAA and ECMWF forecast model runs projecting mid-to-upper 70s under a high-pressure ridge moderated by persistent marine layer clouds, which produced mostly overcast skies and light winds, capping daytime heating after an early-month heat wave that peaked near 90°F downtown on March 20. Above the March climatological average high of 62°F, the reading reflects typical coastal boundary layer dynamics; realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from quality control audits, unlikely given ASOS reliability.

Official National Weather Service observations from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) recorded a maximum temperature of 77°F on March 27, 2026, at 2:56 p.m. and 3:56 p.m. local time, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 76-77°F outcome as the market nears resolution. This matched pre-event NOAA and ECMWF forecast model runs projecting mid-to-upper 70s under a high-pressure ridge moderated by persistent marine layer clouds, which produced mostly overcast skies and light winds, capping daytime heating after an early-month heat wave that peaked near 90°F downtown on March 20. Above the March climatological average high of 62°F, the reading reflects typical coastal boundary layer dynamics; realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from quality control audits, unlikely given ASOS reliability.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 27?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "76-77°F" at 100%, followed by "63°F or below" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 27?" has generated $172.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 27?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 27?" is "76-77°F" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "63°F or below" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 27?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.