Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 82-83°F as the highest temperature in Miami on March 26 at 100% implied probability, driven by official National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirming a peak of 83°F amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds capping daytime heating. Short-range forecast models from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converged on highs in the low 80s ahead of the date, aligning with climatological norms for late March—averaging 79-82°F—following a recent cool front that suppressed instability. While data revisions from quality control are possible but rare (occurring in <1% of cases per NWS protocols), a sustained measurement error or station malfunction could prompt recalculation, though current validations show no anomalies. Next NWS daily summary expected to affirm this reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月26日邁阿密的最高溫度?
3月26日邁阿密的最高溫度?
82-83°F 100.0%
華氏71度或以下 <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$81,304 交易量
$81,304 交易量
華氏71度或以下
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
是
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
華氏90度或以上
否
82-83°F 100.0%
華氏71度或以下 <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$81,304 交易量
$81,304 交易量
華氏71度或以下
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
是
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
華氏90度或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 82-83°F as the highest temperature in Miami on March 26 at 100% implied probability, driven by official National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirming a peak of 83°F amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds capping daytime heating. Short-range forecast models from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converged on highs in the low 80s ahead of the date, aligning with climatological norms for late March—averaging 79-82°F—following a recent cool front that suppressed instability. While data revisions from quality control are possible but rare (occurring in <1% of cases per NWS protocols), a sustained measurement error or station malfunction could prompt recalculation, though current validations show no anomalies. Next NWS daily summary expected to affirm this reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions