Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C as the highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17 at 100% implied probability, driven by the official observation from Benito Juárez International Airport's meteorological station, the market's designated resolution source affiliated with Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN). This aligns with SMN's pre-event forecast of 28–30°C under a stable high-pressure system, clear skies, and typical mid-April warming trends, where average highs hover around 26°C but often exceed 28°C during dry spells. Realistic challenges would require a data revision from SMN or airport logs—highly unlikely post-validation—or discrepancies in measurement methodology, though historical precedents confirm such readings as final. No further updates expected as the event has passed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於墨西哥城4月17日的最高溫度?
墨西哥城4月17日的最高溫度?
29°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$44,475 交易量
$44,475 交易量
25°C或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或更高
否
29°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$44,475 交易量
$44,475 交易量
25°C或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C as the highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17 at 100% implied probability, driven by the official observation from Benito Juárez International Airport's meteorological station, the market's designated resolution source affiliated with Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN). This aligns with SMN's pre-event forecast of 28–30°C under a stable high-pressure system, clear skies, and typical mid-April warming trends, where average highs hover around 26°C but often exceed 28°C during dry spells. Realistic challenges would require a data revision from SMN or airport logs—highly unlikely post-validation—or discrepancies in measurement methodology, though historical precedents confirm such readings as final. No further updates expected as the event has passed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions