Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty for a high temperature of 19°C or higher in Mexico City today, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast and global model consensus projecting daytime highs around 25–27°C under partly cloudy to sunny skies with low precipitation risk. Morning observations at Benito Juárez International Airport already reached 22°C by mid-morning, aligning with April climatology where average highs hit 26°C at 2,240-meter elevation, fueled by intense solar heating in the dry season and rarely falling below 23°C historically. Stable upper-air patterns preclude cold intrusions; only an improbable all-day overcast or station malfunction could challenge this, with official end-of-day readings resolving the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 15?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 15?
19°C or higher 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$283,879 交易量
$283,879 交易量
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
Yes
19°C or higher 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$283,879 交易量
$283,879 交易量
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty for a high temperature of 19°C or higher in Mexico City today, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast and global model consensus projecting daytime highs around 25–27°C under partly cloudy to sunny skies with low precipitation risk. Morning observations at Benito Juárez International Airport already reached 22°C by mid-morning, aligning with April climatology where average highs hit 26°C at 2,240-meter elevation, fueled by intense solar heating in the dry season and rarely falling below 23°C historically. Stable upper-air patterns preclude cold intrusions; only an improbable all-day overcast or station malfunction could challenge this, with official end-of-day readings resolving the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions