The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest forecast, issued this morning, projects a maximum temperature of 26–28°C in Mexico City today, reflecting strong trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 23°C or higher amid typical April climatology with average highs near 25°C. Morning observations at Benito Juárez International Airport recorded a low of 12°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with haze, setting up ample solar heating despite expected afternoon showers (5–25 mm) from low-pressure channels, upper-level instability, and moisture from the Pacific and Gulf of Mexico. Model consensus supports warm conditions, though persistent heavy thunderstorms or unexpected cold air advection could theoretically cap peaks below 23°C—scenarios deemed improbable given current synoptic patterns and diurnal momentum. Final resolution awaits evening airport readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 10?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 10?
23°C or higher 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$41,214 交易量
$41,214 交易量
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
Yes
23°C or higher 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$41,214 交易量
$41,214 交易量
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 6, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest forecast, issued this morning, projects a maximum temperature of 26–28°C in Mexico City today, reflecting strong trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 23°C or higher amid typical April climatology with average highs near 25°C. Morning observations at Benito Juárez International Airport recorded a low of 12°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with haze, setting up ample solar heating despite expected afternoon showers (5–25 mm) from low-pressure channels, upper-level instability, and moisture from the Pacific and Gulf of Mexico. Model consensus supports warm conditions, though persistent heavy thunderstorms or unexpected cold air advection could theoretically cap peaks below 23°C—scenarios deemed improbable given current synoptic patterns and diurnal momentum. Final resolution awaits evening airport readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions