Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 66-67°F at 100% implied probability for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 13, backed by verified hourly observations at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX)—the market's official resolution source via Weather Underground—which peaked at 66°F around 4 PM PDT. National Weather Service data corroborates this, with daytime readings stalled in the mid-60s amid persistent marine layer clouds, onshore flow, and overcast conditions that suppressed solar heating below April climatological norms of about 70°F. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control (e.g., sensor recalibration), though no discrepancies have emerged in preliminary NWS climate summaries.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 13?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 13?
66-67°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$77,892 交易量
$77,892 交易量
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$77,892 交易量
$77,892 交易量
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 66-67°F at 100% implied probability for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 13, backed by verified hourly observations at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX)—the market's official resolution source via Weather Underground—which peaked at 66°F around 4 PM PDT. National Weather Service data corroborates this, with daytime readings stalled in the mid-60s amid persistent marine layer clouds, onshore flow, and overcast conditions that suppressed solar heating below April climatological norms of about 70°F. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control (e.g., sensor recalibration), though no discrepancies have emerged in preliminary NWS climate summaries.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions