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3月29日倫敦的最高溫度？

Market icon

3月29日倫敦的最高溫度？

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

11°C 43%

12°C 24%

10°C 22%

9°C 6.5%

Polymarket

$98,841 交易量

11°C 43%

12°C 24%

10°C 22%

9°C 6.5%

Polymarket

$98,841 交易量

6°C或以下

$37,556 交易量

1%

7°C

$5,494 交易量

<1%

8°C

$5,129 交易量

<1%

9°C

$6,843 交易量

6%

10°C

$10,113 交易量

22%

11°C

$8,024 交易量

43%

12°C

$6,662 交易量

24%

13°C

$5,318 交易量

4%

14°C

$5,833 交易量

1%

15°C

$4,172 交易量

<1%

16°C或以上

$4,565 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 43% probability for London's highest temperature reaching 11°C on March 29, closely trailed by 10°C at 22.5% and 12°C at 21.5%, driven by the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts updated early March 28 showing overcast skies, light rain, and moderate south-westerly winds capping daytime heating. Cloud cover will limit solar insolation, while incoming rain bands—rising to 90% probability in the afternoon per Met Office hourly data—promote evaporative cooling, aligning with recent March trends of highs around 10°C amid a cooler pattern following earlier mild spells. Model consensus reflects low confidence in exceeding 12°C absent clearing, with official observations from Heathrow and central stations resolving the market by day's end.

Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 43% probability for London's highest temperature reaching 11°C on March 29, closely trailed by 10°C at 22.5% and 12°C at 21.5%, driven by the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts updated early March 28 showing overcast skies, light rain, and moderate south-westerly winds capping daytime heating. Cloud cover will limit solar insolation, while incoming rain bands—rising to 90% probability in the afternoon per Met Office hourly data—promote evaporative cooling, aligning with recent March trends of highs around 10°C amid a cooler pattern following earlier mild spells. Model consensus reflects low confidence in exceeding 12°C absent clearing, with official observations from Heathrow and central stations resolving the market by day's end.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 43% probability for London's highest temperature reaching 11°C on March 29, closely trailed by 10°C at 22.5% and 12°C at 21.5%, driven by the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts updated early March 28 showing overcast skies, light rain, and moderate south-westerly winds capping daytime heating. Cloud cover will limit solar insolation, while incoming rain bands—rising to 90% probability in the afternoon per Met Office hourly data—promote evaporative cooling, aligning with recent March trends of highs around 10°C amid a cooler pattern following earlier mild spells. Model consensus reflects low confidence in exceeding 12°C absent clearing, with official observations from Heathrow and central stations resolving the market by day's end.

Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 43% probability for London's highest temperature reaching 11°C on March 29, closely trailed by 10°C at 22.5% and 12°C at 21.5%, driven by the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts updated early March 28 showing overcast skies, light rain, and moderate south-westerly winds capping daytime heating. Cloud cover will limit solar insolation, while incoming rain bands—rising to 90% probability in the afternoon per Met Office hourly data—promote evaporative cooling, aligning with recent March trends of highs around 10°C amid a cooler pattern following earlier mild spells. Model consensus reflects low confidence in exceeding 12°C absent clearing, with official observations from Heathrow and central stations resolving the market by day's end.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"3月29日倫敦的最高溫度？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "11°C" at 43%, followed by "12°C" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "3月29日倫敦的最高溫度？" has generated $98.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "3月29日倫敦的最高溫度？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3月29日倫敦的最高溫度？" is "11°C" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "12°C" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3月29日倫敦的最高溫度？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.