Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Kuala Lumpur's highest temperature reaching exactly 32°C on April 12, 2026, driven by official observational data from stations like those at Subang and Kuala Lumpur International Airport, where peaks hit 32.8°C (91°F) around noon before thunderstorms capped further heating. MetMalaysia forecasts initially projected up to 35°C, but widespread afternoon thunderstorms—issued in warnings until late day—introduced heavy cloud cover and sprinkles, inhibiting solar insolation and limiting the daily maximum, aligning with April climatological averages of 32–33°C amid the equatorial monsoon transition. Realistic challenges would require prolonged clearing skies post-4 PM for a late spike to 33°C or higher, though model consensus and current trends make this improbable as the day ends. Final observations from MetMalaysia will confirm resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on April 12?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on April 12?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$44,533 交易量
$44,533 交易量
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$44,533 交易量
$44,533 交易量
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 8, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Kuala Lumpur's highest temperature reaching exactly 32°C on April 12, 2026, driven by official observational data from stations like those at Subang and Kuala Lumpur International Airport, where peaks hit 32.8°C (91°F) around noon before thunderstorms capped further heating. MetMalaysia forecasts initially projected up to 35°C, but widespread afternoon thunderstorms—issued in warnings until late day—introduced heavy cloud cover and sprinkles, inhibiting solar insolation and limiting the daily maximum, aligning with April climatological averages of 32–33°C amid the equatorial monsoon transition. Realistic challenges would require prolonged clearing skies post-4 PM for a late spike to 33°C or higher, though model consensus and current trends make this improbable as the day ends. Final observations from MetMalaysia will confirm resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions