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Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

48-49°F 42%

50-51°F 32%

46-47°F 13%

52-53°F 10.0%

Polymarket

$95,847 交易量

48-49°F 42%

50-51°F 32%

46-47°F 13%

52-53°F 10.0%

Polymarket

$95,847 交易量

43°F or below

$14,229 交易量

1%

44-45°F

$6,128 交易量

3%

46-47°F

$5,116 交易量

13%

48-49°F

$5,070 交易量

42%

50-51°F

$4,629 交易量

32%

52-53°F

$6,287 交易量

10%

54-55°F

$8,804 交易量

2%

56-57°F

$7,034 交易量

1%

58-59°F

$9,105 交易量

<1%

60-61°F

$5,296 交易量

<1%

62°F or higher

$24,156 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare Airport (KORD) peg today's high temperature near 49°F under mostly sunny skies and north winds of 5-15 mph, driving trader consensus toward the 48-51°F range with 48-49°F at 41.5% implied probability edging 50-51°F at 34.5%. Ensemble guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models converges around 48-50°F, but subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon insolation, and potential high cloud cover introduce uncertainty that differentiates the top bins—stronger vertical mixing could boost peaks to 50-51°F, while persistent cool northerly flow caps at 48-49°F. Following lows in the low 40s earlier this week, this mild rebound reflects a building upper-level ridge; hourly observations through late afternoon will clarify the peak before market resolution on official KORD data.

National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare Airport (KORD) peg today's high temperature near 49°F under mostly sunny skies and north winds of 5-15 mph, driving trader consensus toward the 48-51°F range with 48-49°F at 41.5% implied probability edging 50-51°F at 34.5%. Ensemble guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models converges around 48-50°F, but subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon insolation, and potential high cloud cover introduce uncertainty that differentiates the top bins—stronger vertical mixing could boost peaks to 50-51°F, while persistent cool northerly flow caps at 48-49°F. Following lows in the low 40s earlier this week, this mild rebound reflects a building upper-level ridge; hourly observations through late afternoon will clarify the peak before market resolution on official KORD data.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare Airport (KORD) peg today's high temperature near 49°F under mostly sunny skies and north winds of 5-15 mph, driving trader consensus toward the 48-51°F range with 48-49°F at 41.5% implied probability edging 50-51°F at 34.5%. Ensemble guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models converges around 48-50°F, but subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon insolation, and potential high cloud cover introduce uncertainty that differentiates the top bins—stronger vertical mixing could boost peaks to 50-51°F, while persistent cool northerly flow caps at 48-49°F. Following lows in the low 40s earlier this week, this mild rebound reflects a building upper-level ridge; hourly observations through late afternoon will clarify the peak before market resolution on official KORD data.

National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare Airport (KORD) peg today's high temperature near 49°F under mostly sunny skies and north winds of 5-15 mph, driving trader consensus toward the 48-51°F range with 48-49°F at 41.5% implied probability edging 50-51°F at 34.5%. Ensemble guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models converges around 48-50°F, but subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon insolation, and potential high cloud cover introduce uncertainty that differentiates the top bins—stronger vertical mixing could boost peaks to 50-51°F, while persistent cool northerly flow caps at 48-49°F. Following lows in the low 40s earlier this week, this mild rebound reflects a building upper-level ridge; hourly observations through late afternoon will clarify the peak before market resolution on official KORD data.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "48-49°F" at 42%, followed by "50-51°F" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?" has generated $95.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?" is "48-49°F" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "50-51°F" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.