Gold prices have pulled back sharply in March 2026, declining nearly 15% from early-month highs above $5,300 to current levels around $4,480 per ounce for continuous contracts, driven primarily by the Federal Reserve's hawkish March 17-18 FOMC stance holding rates steady while projecting just one cut for the year, which strengthened the U.S. dollar index to 100.20 and lifted real Treasury yields. Geopolitical tensions, including Iran-U.S. conflicts and an oil shock, offered countervailing safe-haven demand but failed to offset macro pressures. Key catalysts ahead include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, May 12 CPI data, and June 16-17 policy review, which could recalibrate rate cut odds and influence gold's trajectory toward quarter-end settlement thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$3,149,381 交易量
↑ $10,000
2%
↑ $8,500
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,000
3%
↑ $7,000
6%
↑ $6,500
8%
↑ $6,200
14%
↑ 6,000美元
13%
↑ $5,700
21%
↑ $5,500
26%
↓ 4,200美元
65%
↓ $3,800
28%
↓ 3,400美元
9%
$3,149,381 交易量
↑ $10,000
2%
↑ $8,500
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,000
3%
↑ $7,000
6%
↑ $6,500
8%
↑ $6,200
14%
↑ 6,000美元
13%
↑ $5,700
21%
↑ $5,500
26%
↓ 4,200美元
65%
↓ $3,800
28%
↓ 3,400美元
9%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市場開放時間: Jan 26, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Gold prices have pulled back sharply in March 2026, declining nearly 15% from early-month highs above $5,300 to current levels around $4,480 per ounce for continuous contracts, driven primarily by the Federal Reserve's hawkish March 17-18 FOMC stance holding rates steady while projecting just one cut for the year, which strengthened the U.S. dollar index to 100.20 and lifted real Treasury yields. Geopolitical tensions, including Iran-U.S. conflicts and an oil shock, offered countervailing safe-haven demand but failed to offset macro pressures. Key catalysts ahead include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, May 12 CPI data, and June 16-17 policy review, which could recalibrate rate cut odds and influence gold's trajectory toward quarter-end settlement thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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